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Entity & Brand

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CompanyHilton Grand Vacations Inc.
TickerHGV
ExchangeNYSE
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
No signals in this window.
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 0.09% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -6.72% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 80.8/100
Direction Positive Rising
Acceleration Negative decelerating
Trend State Positive Uptrend at Risk
Trend State: Uptrend at Risk — gauge 80.8/100 — 8w slope 0.56; ST slope -0.05 pts/wk ?
Distribution at highs 2/3 (66.7%) High-regime breakdown (from ≥0.80)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 44.84 44.98 44.01 44.53 -0.69%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 45.96 46.00 45.16 45.21 -1.63%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 48.23 48.71 46.87 47.12 -2.30%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 47.83 47.88 47.06 47.52 -0.65%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 43.60 47.94 43.60 47.74 9.50%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 45.41 45.55 44.35 44.39 -2.25%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025 44.09 44.10 43.15 43.70 -0.88%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025 44.06 44.86 43.02 44.49 0.98%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 80.8/100; slope 0.56 pts/wk; short-term -0.05 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.6 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 2/3 (66.7%), bias: Distributing.
What to Watch How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 0.08990784445942716, Slope: 0.18809523809523782
Change Percent Vol: 3.628911682584739, Slope: -0.3064285714285714
Volume Slope: -69065.47619047618, Z Last: 0.050293811750636123
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.0708, Z Last: -0.46082648010014265, Slope: 0.007887738095238097
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -6.723921240050274
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 1.8993135011441606
Ma Stack mixed
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation 0.0708
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 0.09%. Weekly return volatility: 3.63%. Close is 6.72% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 1.90% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is 0.05σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.92. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.55. 26-week move: 29.15%. 52-week move: 25.51%. Price sits 0.07% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 79.07525, Med: 79.9225, Rng: (72.381, 81.461), Vol: 2.809396632286014, Slope: 0.5612142857142866, Last: 80.81700000000001
Diagnostics
Last Pos 80.81700000000001
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Decelerating
Last Label Bullish
State Label Uptrend at Risk
Slope 8W 0.5612142857142866
Slope Short -0.05309999999999491
Accel Value -0.7074999999999987
Drawdown From Peak Pts 0.6439999999999912
Time In Bull 8
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent True
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 2
Dist Opportunities 3
Dist Rate 0.6666666666666666
Dist Longest Streak 1
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Distributing
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 80.8/100; slope 0.56 pts/wk; short-term -0.05 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.6 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 2/3 (66.7%), bias: Distributing.
  2. How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.
  3. Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 0. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 80. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Momentum is bullish and rising
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • Sellers active at elevated levels (distribution)
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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