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Entity & Brand

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CompanyMegasoft Limited
TickerMEGASOFT
ExchangeNSE
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Threshold Breach (Sell) Mon, 8 Sep 2025
Source: market_threshold
Signal close ?:
150.22
At the signal (week of Mon, 8 Sep 2025)
  • Week change: +2.61%
  • Closed near the weekly high (strong finish).
  • Close sits at/above the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation improving (volume trend rising).
  • Since signal (perf): -1.98% over 1w; MFE -0.00% (1w), MAE -1.98% (0w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
1w
Current return
1.98%
MFE
1.98% (1w)
MAE
0.00% (0w)
ST: Above MT: Above
Summary
At the threshold breach (sell) week (Mon, 8 Sep 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is 1.98% over 1 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 1.98% (1w); worst dip [MAE]: 0.00% (0w).
Current situation since SELL
Elapsed: 1w
Close then → now: 150.22153.2
Δ: 2.98 (1.98%)
Now vs trend: ST Above, MT Above
Weekly snapshots
Date Close % from Signal ST MT Wk %
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 150.22 0.00% Above Above 2.61%
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 153.2 1.98% Above Above -1.98%
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 32.17% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Positive 1.98% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Positive Constructive Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.
Price vs MAs Positive Above
Baseline Deviation Positive 1.49% (narrowing)

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 84.2/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Negative decelerating
Gauge Volatility Neutral Low
Trend State Neutral Uptrend at Risk
Trend State: Uptrend at Risk — gauge 84.2/100 — 8w slope -0.71; ST slope -1.24 pts/wk — vol low ?
Distribution at highs 4/7 (57.1%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 156.30 159.30 151.40 153.20 -1.98%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 146.40 150.22 146.40 150.22 2.61%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 132.40 132.40 126.73 126.85 -4.19%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 130.80 146.32 130.80 133.40 1.99%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 114.95 114.95 109.45 111.37 -3.11%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 121.00 124.01 109.06 120.51 -0.40%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 118.22 125.44 118.11 118.11 -0.09%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 107.10 115.91 107.10 115.91 8.23%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 84.2/100; slope -0.71 pts/wk; short-term -1.24 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 5.1 pts. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 4/7 (57.1%), bias: Distributing.
What to Watch How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 32.171512380295056, Slope: 5.5075
Change Percent Vol: 3.6852976474092296, Slope: -0.7647619047619049
Volume Slope: -52108.82142857143, Z Last: -0.7380055527858963
Deviation From Baseline Last: 1.49151, Z Last: 0.8522625178313167, Slope: -0.00788833333333335
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct 1.9837571561709424
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 37.55948639669568
Ma Stack bull
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma above
Baseline Deviation 1.49151
Baseline Dir narrowing
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 32.17%. Weekly return volatility: 3.69%. Close is 1.98% above the prior-window 8-week high. and 37.56% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.74σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.27. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.81. 26-week move: 212.27%. 52-week move: 123.23%. Price sits 1.49% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region. Price holds above key averages, indicating constructive participation.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 87.094625, Med: 87.574, Rng: (84.219, 89.294), Vol: 1.8075226787996352, Slope: -0.7094166666666675, Last: 84.219
Diagnostics
Last Pos 84.219
Vol Band low
Acceleration Label Decelerating
Last Label Neutral
State Label Uptrend at Risk
Slope 8W -0.7094166666666675
Slope Short -1.2399000000000016
Accel Value -0.23917857142857255
Drawdown From Peak Pts 5.075000000000003
Time In Bull 8
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 4
Dist Opportunities 7
Dist Rate 0.5714285714285714
Dist Longest Streak 3
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Distributing
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 84.2/100; slope -0.71 pts/wk; short-term -1.24 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 5.1 pts. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 4/7 (57.1%), bias: Distributing.
  2. How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising.
  3. Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 32. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 84. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Price holds above 8w & 26w averages
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Solid multi-week performance
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • Sellers active at elevated levels (distribution)
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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