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Entity & Brand

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CompanyFrontdoor, Inc.
TickerFTDR
ExchangeNASDAQ
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Threshold Breach (Sell) Fri, 12 Sep 2025
Source: market_cycle
Signal close ?:
66.3
At the signal (week of Fri, 12 Sep 2025)
  • Week change: -0.53%
  • Closed near the weekly low (soft finish).
  • Close sits at/above the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation easing (volume trend falling).
  • Since signal (perf): -0.87% over 1w; MFE -0.00% (1w), MAE -0.87% (0w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
1w
Current return
0.87%
MFE
0.87% (1w)
MAE
0.00% (0w)
ST: Above MT: Above
Summary
At the threshold breach (sell) week (Fri, 12 Sep 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is 0.87% over 1 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 0.87% (1w); worst dip [MAE]: 0.00% (0w).
Current situation since SELL
Elapsed: 1w
Close then → now: 66.366.88
Δ: 0.58 (0.87%)
Now vs trend: ST Above, MT Above
Weekly snapshots
Date Close % from Signal ST MT Wk %
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 66.3 0.00% Above Above -0.53%
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 66.88 0.87% Above Above -0.92%
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 15.11% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 1.27% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Positive Rising Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Positive 0.87% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Positive Constructive Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.
Price vs MAs Positive Above

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 78.9/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Positive accelerating
Trend State Positive Uptrend at Risk
Trend State: Uptrend at Risk — gauge 78.9/100 — 8w slope -0.97; ST slope -1.32 pts/wk ?
Distribution at highs 3/5 (60.0%) High-regime breakdown (from ≥0.80)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 67.50 67.50 66.18 66.88 -0.92%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 66.65 67.18 66.03 66.30 -0.53%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 63.22 63.79 62.26 63.05 -0.27%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 60.74 60.93 60.13 60.75 0.02%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 59.03 62.37 58.54 60.38 2.29%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 59.33 59.49 58.77 58.89 -0.74%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025 56.36 56.51 54.85 54.88 -2.63%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025 58.25 58.51 57.63 58.10 -0.26%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 78.9/100; slope -0.97 pts/wk; short-term -1.32 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 6.5 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 3/5 (60.0%), bias: Distributing.
What to Watch How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 15.111876075731487, Slope: 1.5644047619047607
Change Percent Vol: 1.265977882903173, Slope: 0.059761904761904766
Volume Slope: 51625.0, Z Last: 0.8892018754636136
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.6996, Z Last: 1.3524427962901362, Slope: 0.03630261904761904
Diagnostics
Volume Trend rising
Close Vs Recent High Pct 0.8748114630467546
Conv Div convergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 21.865889212827973
Ma Stack bull
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma above
Baseline Deviation 0.6996
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 15.11%. Weekly return volatility: 1.27%. Close is 0.87% above the prior-window 8-week high. and 21.87% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: rising. Latest week’s volume is 0.89σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.72. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.42. 26-week move: 78.35%. 52-week move: 42.45%. Price sits 0.70% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region. Price holds above key averages, indicating constructive participation.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 81.385625, Med: 82.1755, Rng: (77.538, 85.38900000000001), Vol: 2.7558240118656014, Slope: -0.9705595238095257, Last: 78.877
Diagnostics
Last Pos 78.877
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Accelerating
Last Label Bullish
State Label Uptrend at Risk
Slope 8W -0.9705595238095257
Slope Short -1.3236000000000019
Accel Value 0.21353571428571477
Drawdown From Peak Pts 6.512000000000015
Time In Bull 8
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent True
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 3
Dist Opportunities 5
Dist Rate 0.6
Dist Longest Streak 1
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Distributing
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 78.9/100; slope -0.97 pts/wk; short-term -1.32 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 6.5 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 3/5 (60.0%), bias: Distributing.
  2. How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.
  3. Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 15. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 78. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths
  • Price holds above 8w & 26w averages
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Sellers active at elevated levels (distribution)
  • Recent breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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