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Weekly Market ReportMerchants Bancorp MBIN

NASDAQ Signal Insights

Entity & Brand

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CompanyMerchants Bancorp
TickerMBIN
ExchangeNASDAQ
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Accumulation Fri, 5 Sep 2025
Source: smart_money
Signal close ?:
32.82
At the signal (week of Fri, 5 Sep 2025)
  • Week change: -0.88%
  • Close sits at/above the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation easing (volume trend falling).
  • Since signal (perf): -1.83% over 2w; MFE -1.83% (0w), MAE +0.00% (2w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
2w
Current return
-1.83%
MFE
0.00% (0w)
MAE
-1.83% (2w)
ST: Below MT: Above
Summary
At the accumulation week (Fri, 5 Sep 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is -1.83% over 2 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 0.00% (0w); worst dip [MAE]: -1.83% (2w).
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 10.42% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 1.91% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -1.83% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 13.1/100
Direction Positive Rising
Acceleration Positive accelerating
Gauge Volatility Neutral Low
Trend State Neutral Range / Neutral
Trend State: Range / Neutral — gauge 13.1/100 — 8w slope 0.08; ST slope 0.66 pts/wk — vol low ?

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 33.05 33.05 32.15 32.22 -2.51%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 32.06 32.85 31.81 32.64 1.81%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 33.11 33.53 32.46 32.82 -0.88%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 32.68 32.83 32.32 32.42 -0.80%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 31.86 33.64 31.51 32.54 2.13%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 33.18 33.18 31.94 31.98 -3.62%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025 30.47 30.93 29.92 30.74 0.89%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025 29.62 29.72 28.75 29.18 -1.49%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 13.1/100; slope 0.08 pts/wk; short-term 0.66 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.3 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 2/7 (28.6%), bias: Distributing.
What to Watch How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 10.418094585332417, Slope: 0.3950000000000001
Change Percent Vol: 1.9087459070028152, Slope: 0.03273809523809526
Volume Slope: -27223.809523809523, Z Last: -0.24178880233714378
Deviation From Baseline Last: -0.04747, Z Last: -0.7989120128594674, Slope: -0.004427738095238095
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -1.8281535648994558
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bearish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 10.418094585332417
Ma Stack mixed
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation -0.04747
Baseline Dir narrowing
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 10.42%. Weekly return volatility: 1.91%. Close is 1.83% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 10.42% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.24σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.48. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.33. 26-week move: -4.04%. 52-week move: -25.24%. Price sits 0.05% below its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 12.461, Med: 12.7945, Rng: (10.81, 13.364), Vol: 0.9277219411008882, Slope: 0.07661904761904773, Last: 13.074
Diagnostics
Last Pos 13.074
Vol Band low
Acceleration Label Accelerating
Last Label Neutral
State Label Range / Neutral
Slope 8W 0.07661904761904773
Slope Short 0.6636999999999998
Accel Value 0.1299999999999997
Drawdown From Peak Pts 0.2900000000000009
Time In Bull 0
Time In Bear 8
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 2
Acc Opportunities 7
Acc Rate 0.2857142857142857
Acc Longest Streak 1
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Distributing
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 13.1/100; slope 0.08 pts/wk; short-term 0.66 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.3 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 2/7 (28.6%), bias: Distributing.
  2. How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.
  3. Wait for a directional break or improving acceleration.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNeutral
Stars ★★★☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 10. Trend: Range / Neutral; gauge 13. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Low return volatility supports durability
  • Solid multi-week performance
Watch-outs
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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