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Weekly Market ReportAlcadon Group AB (publ) ALCA

STO Signal Insights

Entity & Brand

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CompanyAlcadon Group AB (publ)
TickerALCA
ExchangeSTO
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Accumulation Mon, 15 Sep 2025
Source: smart_money
Signal close ?:
20.9
At the signal (week of Mon, 15 Sep 2025)
  • Week change: +1.95%
  • Close sits below the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation easing (volume trend falling).
  • Since signal (perf): +0.00% over 0w; MFE +0.00% (0w), MAE +0.00% (0w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
Current return
0.00%
MFE
0.00% (0w)
MAE
0.00% (0w)
ST: Below MT: Above
Summary
At the accumulation week (Mon, 15 Sep 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is 0.00% . Peak move [MFE]: 0.00% (0w); worst dip [MAE]: 0.00% (0w).
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Negative -0.48% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Negative 7.28% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -2.34% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
4–8 Crossover Positive Bullish

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 14.5/100
Direction Positive Rising
Gauge Volatility Neutral Low
Trend State Neutral Bottoming Attempt
Trend State: Bottoming Attempt — gauge 14.5/100 — 8w slope 0.34; ST slope 0.36 pts/wk — vol low ?
Accumulation at lows 6/7 (85.7%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 20.50 21.30 20.50 20.90 1.95%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 23.80 23.80 19.50 21.40 -10.08%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 21.00 21.30 20.50 21.20 0.95%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 18.65 22.20 18.65 21.20 13.67%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 18.20 19.00 18.20 18.70 2.75%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 19.30 20.70 19.10 19.35 0.26%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 20.50 20.60 19.00 19.75 -3.66%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 23.50 23.50 19.30 21.00 -10.64%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 14.5/100; slope 0.34 pts/wk; short-term 0.36 pts/wk; steady. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 6/7 (85.7%), bias: Accumulating.
What to Watch How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: -0.476190476190483, Slope: 0.18571428571428544
Change Percent Vol: 7.284706582972302, Slope: 0.8216666666666667
Volume Slope: -14578.42857142857, Z Last: -1.0018212706646792
Deviation From Baseline Last: -0.45491, Z Last: 0.9762751442197113, Slope: 0.025352738095238088
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -2.3364485981308416
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bearish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 11.764705882352938
Ma Stack mixed
Cross 4 8 up
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation -0.45491
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: -0.48%. Weekly return volatility: 7.28%. Close is 2.34% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 11.76% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -1.00σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.17. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.23. 26-week move: -15.04%. 52-week move: -49.02%. Price sits 0.45% below its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening. A short-term average has just crossed above the intermediate average.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Fresh short-term crossover improves near-term tone.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 13.256499999999999, Med: 13.2285, Rng: (12.025, 14.495), Vol: 0.8928215107175673, Slope: 0.335095238095238, Last: 14.495
Diagnostics
Last Pos 14.495
Vol Band low
Acceleration Label Steady
Last Label Neutral
State Label Bottoming Attempt
Slope 8W 0.335095238095238
Slope Short 0.3593999999999996
Accel Value 0.0010000000000000167
Drawdown From Peak Pts 0.0
Time In Bull 0
Time In Bear 8
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 6
Acc Opportunities 7
Acc Rate 0.8571428571428571
Acc Longest Streak 4
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Accumulating
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 14.5/100; slope 0.34 pts/wk; short-term 0.36 pts/wk; steady. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 6/7 (85.7%), bias: Accumulating.
  2. How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.
  3. Early improvement — look for a reclaim of 0.50→0.60 to validate.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: -0. Trend: Bottoming Attempt; gauge 14. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Early improvement from bearish zone (bottoming attempt)
  • Buyers step in at depressed levels (accumulation)
Watch-outs
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • High return volatility raises whipsaw risk
  • Negative multi-week performance
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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