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Weekly Market ReportUltragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. RARE

NASDAQ Signal Insights

Entity & Brand

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CompanyUltragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc.
TickerRARE
ExchangeNASDAQ
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Accumulation Fri, 19 Sep 2025
Source: smart_money
Signal close ?:
28.13
At the signal (week of Fri, 19 Sep 2025)
  • Week change: -3.53%
  • Closed near the weekly low (soft finish).
  • Close sits below the short-term trend.
  • Below the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation improving (volume trend rising).
  • Since signal (perf): +0.00% over 0w; MFE +0.00% (0w), MAE +0.00% (0w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
Current return
0.00%
MFE
0.00% (0w)
MAE
0.00% (0w)
ST: Below MT: Below
Summary
At the accumulation week (Fri, 19 Sep 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is 0.00% . Peak move [MFE]: 0.00% (0w); worst dip [MAE]: 0.00% (0w).
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Negative -1.09% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Volume Trend Positive Rising Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -11.60% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
Price vs MAs Negative Below

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 11.9/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Positive accelerating
Gauge Volatility Neutral Low
Trend State Negative Range / Neutral
Trend State: Range / Neutral — gauge 11.9/100 — 8w slope -0.60; ST slope 0.95 pts/wk — vol low ?

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 29.16 29.20 28.09 28.13 -3.53%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 31.02 31.47 30.27 30.31 -2.29%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 31.73 32.26 31.28 31.82 0.28%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 30.27 30.60 29.71 29.96 -1.02%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 29.88 30.61 29.04 30.30 1.41%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 29.13 30.10 29.07 29.69 1.92%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025 27.99 28.21 27.40 27.54 -1.61%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025 27.14 28.48 26.86 28.44 4.79%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 11.9/100; slope -0.60 pts/wk; short-term 0.95 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 5.2 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/7 (42.9%), bias: Distributing.
What to Watch How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: -1.090014064697617, Slope: 0.21107142857142833
Change Percent Vol: 2.5008545414517815, Slope: -0.8213095238095236
Volume Slope: 53767.857142857145, Z Last: 0.870284752950227
Deviation From Baseline Last: -0.33258, Z Last: 0.35491289746130206, Slope: 0.03845428571428572
Diagnostics
Volume Trend rising
Close Vs Recent High Pct -11.596480201131367
Conv Div convergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Bearish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 2.1423384168482205
Ma Stack mixed
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma below
Baseline Deviation -0.33258
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: -1.09%. Weekly return volatility: 2.50%. Close is 11.60% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 2.14% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: rising. Latest week’s volume is 0.87σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.07. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.14. 26-week move: -19.93%. 52-week move: -47.58%. Price sits 0.33% below its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Price sits below key averages, keeping pressure on the tape.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 11.895, Med: 11.509, Rng: (8.994, 17.169999999999998), Vol: 2.4404593829850967, Slope: -0.596952380952381, Last: 11.927999999999999
Diagnostics
Last Pos 11.927999999999999
Vol Band low
Acceleration Label Accelerating
Last Label Bearish
State Label Range / Neutral
Slope 8W -0.596952380952381
Slope Short 0.9484999999999996
Accel Value 0.7582857142857139
Drawdown From Peak Pts 5.241999999999999
Time In Bull 0
Time In Bear 8
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 3
Acc Opportunities 7
Acc Rate 0.42857142857142855
Acc Longest Streak 3
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Distributing
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 11.9/100; slope -0.60 pts/wk; short-term 0.95 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 5.2 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/7 (42.9%), bias: Distributing.
  2. How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.
  3. Wait for a directional break or improving acceleration.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: -1. Trend: Range / Neutral; gauge 11. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
Watch-outs
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Negative multi-week performance
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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