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Weekly Market ReportAfarak Group SE AFAGR

HEL Signal Insights

Entity & Brand

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CompanyAfarak Group SE
TickerAFAGR
ExchangeHEL
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Smart Money Buy Mon, 8 Sep 2025
Source: smart_money
Signal close ?:
0.289
At the signal (week of Mon, 8 Sep 2025)
  • Week change: -2.03%
  • Closed near the weekly low (soft finish).
  • Close sits below the short-term trend.
  • Below the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation easing (volume trend falling).
  • Since signal (perf): +0.00% over 1w; MFE +0.00% (0w), MAE +0.00% (0w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
1w
Current return
0.00%
MFE
0.00% (0w)
MAE
0.00% (0w)
ST: Below MT: Below
Summary
At the smart money buy week (Mon, 8 Sep 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is 0.00% over 1 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 0.00% (0w); worst dip [MAE]: 0.00% (0w).
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 7.04% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Negative 5.45% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -7.37% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
4–8 Crossover Negative Bearish
Price vs MAs Negative Below

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 30.3/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Positive accelerating
Trend State Negative Bottoming Attempt
Trend State: Bottoming Attempt — gauge 30.3/100 — 8w slope -0.27; ST slope 2.94 pts/wk ?
Accumulation at lows 3/4 (75.0%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 -0.34%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 0.30 0.30 0.29 0.29 -2.03%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.34%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 0.30 0.30 0.29 0.30 0.00%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 0.31 0.32 0.30 0.30 -3.85%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 0.29 0.33 0.29 0.31 7.22%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 0.27 0.31 0.27 0.29 6.99%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 0.30 0.30 0.27 0.27 -10.89%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 30.3/100; slope -0.27 pts/wk; short-term 2.94 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/4 (75.0%), bias: Accumulating.
What to Watch How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 7.037037037037022, Slope: 0.0008333333333333295
Change Percent Vol: 5.453622649212173, Slope: 0.14238095238095244
Volume Slope: -56822.46428571428, Z Last: -0.8584038729060449
Deviation From Baseline Last: -0.22458, Z Last: -0.9754254280045217, Slope: -0.01685595238095238
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -7.371794871794879
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Bearish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 7.037037037037022
Ma Stack mixed
Cross 4 8 down
Price Vs Ma below
Baseline Deviation -0.22458
Baseline Dir narrowing
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 7.04%. Weekly return volatility: 5.45%. Close is 7.37% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 7.04% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.86σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.52. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.77. 26-week move: -5.56%. 52-week move: 5.09%. Price sits 0.22% below its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing. A short-term average has just crossed below the intermediate average.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Fresh short-term downside crossover weakens near-term tone. Price sits below key averages, keeping pressure on the tape.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 25.159, Med: 25.357999999999997, Rng: (20.569000000000003, 30.253000000000004), Vol: 3.5191600915559382, Slope: -0.26992857142857085, Last: 30.253000000000004
Diagnostics
Last Pos 30.253000000000004
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Accelerating
Last Label Bearish
State Label Bottoming Attempt
Slope 8W -0.26992857142857085
Slope Short 2.9356
Accel Value 1.0814285714285716
Drawdown From Peak Pts 0.0
Time In Bull 0
Time In Bear 8
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 3
Acc Opportunities 4
Acc Rate 0.75
Acc Longest Streak 2
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Accumulating
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 30.3/100; slope -0.27 pts/wk; short-term 2.94 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/4 (75.0%), bias: Accumulating.
  2. How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.
  3. Early improvement — look for a reclaim of 0.50→0.60 to validate.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 7. Trend: Bottoming Attempt; gauge 30. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Early improvement from bearish zone (bottoming attempt)
  • Buyers step in at depressed levels (accumulation)
Watch-outs
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • High return volatility raises whipsaw risk
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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