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Entity & Brand

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CompanyShanghai Serum Bio-Technology Co., Ltd.
Ticker688163
ExchangeSHA
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Threshold Breach (Sell) Mon, 8 Sep 2025
Source: market_cycle
Signal close ?:
25.35
At the signal (week of Mon, 8 Sep 2025)
  • Week change: +5.54%
  • Closed near the weekly high (strong finish).
  • Close sits at/above the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation easing (volume trend falling).
  • Since signal (perf): +3.91% over 1w; MFE +3.91% (0w), MAE -0.00% (1w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
1w
Current return
-3.91%
MFE
0.00% (0w)
MAE
-3.91% (1w)
ST: Below MT: Below
Summary
At the threshold breach (sell) week (Mon, 8 Sep 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is -3.91% over 1 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 0.00% (0w); worst dip [MAE]: -3.91% (1w).
Current situation since SELL
Elapsed: 1w
Close then → now: 25.3524.36
Δ: -0.99 (-3.91%)
Now vs trend: ST Below, MT Below
Weekly snapshots
Date Close % from Signal ST MT Wk %
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 25.35 0.00% Above Above 5.54%
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 24.36 -3.91% Below Below -0.77%
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Negative -0.41% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -7.52% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
4–8 Crossover Negative Bearish

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 82.0/100
Direction Positive Rising
Gauge Volatility Neutral Low
Trend State Positive Range / Neutral
Trend State: Range / Neutral — gauge 82.0/100 — 8w slope 0.37; ST slope 0.29 pts/wk — vol low ?

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 24.55 24.65 24.25 24.36 -0.77%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 24.02 25.46 24.02 25.35 5.54%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 24.73 25.13 24.43 24.87 0.57%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 25.23 28.93 23.92 24.61 -2.46%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 26.51 27.24 26.06 26.34 -0.64%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 25.00 25.84 24.98 25.22 0.88%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 24.35 28.60 23.89 25.23 3.61%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 24.98 25.17 23.84 24.46 -2.08%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 82.0/100; slope 0.37 pts/wk; short-term 0.29 pts/wk; steady. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.6 pts. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 2/5 (40.0%), bias: Accumulating.
What to Watch How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: -0.40883074407196, Slope: -0.034285714285714274
Change Percent Vol: 2.5860367239271755, Slope: 0.1913095238095239
Volume Slope: -2697527.9285714286, Z Last: -0.919407959261984
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.29682, Z Last: -0.4450421427432001, Slope: 0.007935714285714287
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -7.5170842824601385
Conv Div convergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct -0.40883074407196
Ma Stack mixed
Cross 4 8 down
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation 0.29682
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: -0.41%. Weekly return volatility: 2.59%. Close is 7.52% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 0.41% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.92σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): -0.18. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): -0.17. 26-week move: 41.21%. 52-week move: 49.26%. Price sits 0.30% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening. A short-term average has just crossed below the intermediate average.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Fresh short-term downside crossover weakens near-term tone.
  3. Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 80.68525, Med: 80.51599999999999, Rng: (79.322, 82.588), Vol: 1.0874338773001293, Slope: 0.37414285714285644, Last: 81.95
Diagnostics
Last Pos 81.95
Vol Band low
Acceleration Label Steady
Last Label Bullish
State Label Range / Neutral
Slope 8W 0.37414285714285644
Slope Short 0.28640000000000043
Accel Value -0.014071428571427751
Drawdown From Peak Pts 0.637999999999991
Time In Bull 8
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 2
Dist Opportunities 5
Dist Rate 0.4
Dist Longest Streak 1
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Accumulating
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 82.0/100; slope 0.37 pts/wk; short-term 0.29 pts/wk; steady. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.6 pts. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 2/5 (40.0%), bias: Accumulating.
  2. How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.
  3. Wait for a directional break or improving acceleration.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictPositive
Stars ★★★★☆
SummaryPrice window: -0. Trend: Range / Neutral; gauge 82. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths
  • Momentum is bullish and rising
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
Watch-outs
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Negative multi-week performance
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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