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Entity & Brand

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CompanyYunnan Baiyao Group Co.,Ltd
Ticker000538
ExchangeSHE
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Threshold Breach (Sell) Mon, 8 Sep 2025
Source: market_cycle
Signal close ?:
60.24
At the signal (week of Mon, 8 Sep 2025)
  • Week change: +1.59%
  • Closed near the weekly high (strong finish).
  • Close sits at/above the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation easing (volume trend falling).
  • Since signal (perf): +2.04% over 1w; MFE +2.04% (0w), MAE -0.00% (1w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
1w
Current return
-2.04%
MFE
0.00% (0w)
MAE
-2.04% (1w)
ST: Below MT: Above
Summary
At the threshold breach (sell) week (Mon, 8 Sep 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is -2.04% over 1 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 0.00% (0w); worst dip [MAE]: -2.04% (1w).
Current situation since SELL
Elapsed: 1w
Close then → now: 60.2459.01
Δ: -1.23 (-2.04%)
Now vs trend: ST Below, MT Above
Weekly snapshots
Date Close % from Signal ST MT Wk %
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 60.24 0.00% Above Above 1.59%
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 59.01 -2.04% Below Above 0.10%
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 4.83% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 0.92% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -2.04% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Positive Constructive Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.
Price vs MAs Positive Above

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 54.3/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Negative decelerating
Trend State Neutral Range / Neutral
Momentum Drawdown Negative 13.9 pts from 8w peak
Trend State: Range / Neutral — gauge 54.3/100 — 8w slope -2.25; ST slope -1.34 pts/wk — drawdown 13.9 pts from peak ?

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 58.95 59.24 58.80 59.01 0.10%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 59.30 60.69 59.18 60.24 1.59%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 58.30 60.17 58.29 59.29 1.70%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 57.98 58.27 56.32 57.58 -0.69%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 56.38 57.09 56.21 56.84 0.82%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 55.92 56.04 55.76 56.01 0.16%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 56.34 56.66 55.75 55.89 -0.80%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 56.55 58.22 55.58 56.29 -0.46%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 54.3/100; slope -2.25 pts/wk; short-term -1.34 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 13.9 pts.
What to Watch How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 4.8321193817729595, Slope: 0.611547619047619
Change Percent Vol: 0.9166344691315071, Slope: 0.22595238095238096
Volume Slope: -6518819.404761905, Z Last: -0.9446648086378421
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.12828, Z Last: 0.936912301895745, Slope: 0.02513416666666667
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -2.041832669322716
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Neutral
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 5.582393988191085
Ma Stack bull
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma above
Baseline Deviation 0.12828
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 4.83%. Weekly return volatility: 0.92%. Close is 2.04% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 5.58% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.94σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): -0.61. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): -0.42. 26-week move: 6.92%. 52-week move: 6.69%. Price sits 0.13% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are negatively correlated with volume — strength may come on lighter activity. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region. Price holds above key averages, indicating constructive participation.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 60.490375, Med: 61.585499999999996, Rng: (52.735, 68.24), Vol: 5.798418339027891, Slope: -2.2522738095238086, Last: 54.294
Diagnostics
Last Pos 54.294
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Decelerating
Last Label Neutral
State Label Range / Neutral
Slope 8W -2.2522738095238086
Slope Short -1.3419000000000019
Accel Value -0.20553571428571532
Drawdown From Peak Pts 13.945999999999998
Time In Bull 4
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 4
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 54.3/100; slope -2.25 pts/wk; short-term -1.34 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 13.9 pts.
  2. How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.
  3. Wait for a directional break or improving acceleration.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNeutral
Stars ★★★☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 4. Trend: Range / Neutral; gauge 54. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Price holds above 8w & 26w averages
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Liquidity diverges from price
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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