AMBP3 - BVMF
Weekly Report for Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos S.A.
Entity & Brand
?Signals Snapshot
8-week window
No signals in this window.
Price Overview
Tiles| Metric | Signal | Value | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price Window | Negative | -38.41% over 8w | Endpoint return across the selected window. | |
| Return Volatility | Negative | 13.83% | Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone. | |
| Volume Trend | Positive | Rising | Slope of weekly volume across the window. | |
| Vs 8w High | Negative | -38.41% | Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded). | |
| MA Stack | Negative | Weak | Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak. | |
| Price vs MAs | Negative | Below |
Trend Overview
| Metric | Signal | Value | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gauge Reading | Neutral | 39.4/100 | ||
| Direction | Negative | Falling | ||
| Acceleration | Negative | decelerating | ||
| Gauge Volatility | Neutral | High | ||
| Trend State | Negative | Downtrend Confirmed | ||
| Momentum Drawdown | Negative | 33.1 pts from 8w peak |
Trend State:
Downtrend Confirmed — gauge 39.4/100 — 8w slope -4.73; ST slope -5.35 pts/wk — drawdown 33.1 pts from peak — vol high
Midline failure (~0.50) after strengthBear control (sub-0.40)
Weekly Price Action
8 weeks| Week ending | Open | High | Low | Close | Change % | Volume (MA) Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 26 Sep 2025 | 6.61 | 9.51 | 6.40 | 8.85 | 33.89% | |
| Fri, 19 Sep 2025 | 13.70 | 14.20 | 13.30 | 14.20 | 3.65% | |
| Fri, 12 Sep 2025 | 12.37 | 14.19 | 12.36 | 13.70 | 10.75% | |
| Fri, 5 Sep 2025 | 12.76 | 13.26 | 12.31 | 12.49 | -2.12% | |
| Fri, 29 Aug 2025 | 13.44 | 13.97 | 12.53 | 12.67 | -5.73% | |
| Fri, 22 Aug 2025 | 12.73 | 14.72 | 12.72 | 13.42 | 5.42% | |
| Fri, 15 Aug 2025 | 14.07 | 14.55 | 12.44 | 12.52 | -11.02% | |
| Fri, 8 Aug 2025 | 16.24 | 16.59 | 14.32 | 14.37 | -11.51% | — |
Price Narrative
| Stands Out | No highlights available. |
|---|---|
| What to Watch | No watch items available. |
Trend Narrative
| Stands Out | Trend focus for week ending Fri, 26 Sep 2025. Gauge: 39.4/100; slope -4.73 pts/wk; short-term -5.35 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 33.1 pts. Recent failure through ~50 after a high regime. Bear control regained (sub-40). |
|---|---|
| What to Watch | How to read this — Bearish zone with falling momentum — sellers in control. Loss of the ~0.50 midline after strength suggests regime shift. Sub-0.40 print confirms downside control. |
Market Strength (Mansfield RS)
| Status | Underperforming |
|---|---|
| Level | -7.42% |
| Regime | Negative |
All Price Analysis
Complete dump ofmonthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
| Series | |
|---|---|
| Close Price | Change Pct: -38.413361169102295, Slope: -0.35214285714285715 |
| Change Percent | Vol: 13.829340130226749, Slope: 4.8898809523809526 |
| Volume | Slope: 193103.57142857142, Z Last: 2.395416976754164 |
| Deviation From Baseline | Last: 0.42159, Z Last: -2.400339650199701, Slope: -0.05646392857142857 |
| Diagnostics | |
| Volume Trend | rising |
| Close Vs Recent High Pct | -38.413361169102295 |
| Conv Div | divergence |
| Momentum Trend | weakening |
| Last Trend Label | Bearish |
| Close Vs Recent Low Pct | -29.14331465172138 |
| Ma Stack | bear |
| Cross 4 8 | none |
| Price Vs Ma | below |
| Baseline Deviation | 0.42159 |
| Baseline Dir | narrowing |
What does it mean?
- 8-week price move: -38.41%. Weekly return volatility: 13.83%. Close is 38.41% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 29.14% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: rising. Latest week’s volume is 2.40σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.71. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.88. 26-week move: -30.00%. 52-week move: -30.21%. Price sits 0.42% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing. Moving-average stack is weak (short below intermediate below long).
- How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Weak MA stack argues for caution; rallies can fail near the 8–13 week region. Price sits below key averages, keeping pressure on the tape.
- Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.
Final Conclusion
| Verdict | Negative |
|---|---|
| Stars | 0.5 |
| Market Strength | Underperforming |
| Summary | Price window: -38. Trend: Downtrend Confirmed; gauge 39. In combination, liquidity diverges from price. |
| Strengths |
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| Watch-outs |
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Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.