No results found.

ShareMaestro Logo

Weekly Market ReportKogan.com Ltd KGN

ASX Signal Insights

Entity & Brand

?
CompanyKogan.com Ltd
TickerKGN
ExchangeASX
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Accumulation Mon, 8 Sep 2025
Source: smart_money
Signal close ?:
3.87
At the signal (week of Mon, 8 Sep 2025)
  • Week change: -1.28%
  • Closed near the weekly low (soft finish).
  • Close sits below the short-term trend.
  • Below the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation improving (volume trend rising).
  • Since signal (perf): -3.62% over 1w; MFE -3.62% (0w), MAE +0.00% (1w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
1w
Current return
-3.62%
MFE
0.00% (0w)
MAE
-3.62% (1w)
ST: Below MT: Below
Summary
At the accumulation week (Mon, 8 Sep 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is -3.62% over 1 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 0.00% (0w); worst dip [MAE]: -3.62% (1w).
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Negative -2.86% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 1.61% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -7.44% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Negative Weak Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.
4–8 Crossover Negative Bearish
Price vs MAs Negative Below

Trend Overview

?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 13.5/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Positive accelerating
Gauge Volatility Neutral Low
Trend State Negative Bottoming Attempt
Trend State: Bottoming Attempt — gauge 13.5/100 — 8w slope -0.20; ST slope 1.19 pts/wk — vol low ?
Accumulation at lows 4/7 (57.1%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 3.76 3.77 3.72 3.73 -0.80%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 3.92 3.93 3.85 3.87 -1.28%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 4.04 4.07 3.95 3.96 -1.98%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 4.06 4.29 3.76 4.03 -0.74%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 3.93 4.08 3.79 4.03 2.54%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 3.94 3.96 3.90 3.92 -0.51%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 3.82 3.91 3.79 3.88 1.57%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 3.94 4.00 3.81 3.84 -2.54%

Price Narrative

?
Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

?
Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 13.5/100; slope -0.20 pts/wk; short-term 1.19 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 1.5 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 4/7 (57.1%), bias: Accumulating.
What to Watch How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: -2.86458333333333, Slope: -0.008333333333333309
Change Percent Vol: 1.6056988353984691, Slope: -0.1161904761904762
Volume Slope: -5086.642857142857, Z Last: -0.5331823043047063
Deviation From Baseline Last: -0.17464, Z Last: 0.7361320907974978, Slope: 0.03873678571428571
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -7.444168734491321
Conv Div convergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Bearish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct -2.86458333333333
Ma Stack bear
Cross 4 8 down
Price Vs Ma below
Baseline Deviation -0.17464
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: -2.86%. Weekly return volatility: 1.61%. Close is 7.44% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 2.86% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.53σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.01. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.34. 26-week move: -21.31%. 52-week move: -26.49%. Price sits 0.17% below its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening. Moving-average stack is weak (short below intermediate below long). A short-term average has just crossed below the intermediate average.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Weak MA stack argues for caution; rallies can fail near the 8–13 week region. Fresh short-term downside crossover weakens near-term tone. Price sits below key averages, keeping pressure on the tape.
  3. Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 13.110375, Med: 13.6955, Rng: (10.345, 14.988999999999999), Vol: 1.497792787529369, Slope: -0.19901190476190458, Last: 13.471
Diagnostics
Last Pos 13.471
Vol Band low
Acceleration Label Accelerating
Last Label Bearish
State Label Bottoming Attempt
Slope 8W -0.19901190476190458
Slope Short 1.1875999999999998
Accel Value 0.16717857142857132
Drawdown From Peak Pts 1.517999999999999
Time In Bull 0
Time In Bear 8
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 4
Acc Opportunities 7
Acc Rate 0.5714285714285714
Acc Longest Streak 2
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Accumulating
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 13.5/100; slope -0.20 pts/wk; short-term 1.19 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 1.5 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 4/7 (57.1%), bias: Accumulating.
  2. How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.
  3. Early improvement — look for a reclaim of 0.50→0.60 to validate.

Final Conclusion

?
VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: -2. Trend: Bottoming Attempt; gauge 13. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths
  • Early improvement from bearish zone (bottoming attempt)
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Weak moving-average stack
  • Negative multi-week performance
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
Top