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Entity & Brand

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CompanyGoodwin PLC
TickerGDWN
ExchangeLSE
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Threshold Breach (Sell) Fri, 5 Sep 2025
Source: market_cycle
Signal close ?:
9880.0
At the signal (week of Fri, 5 Sep 2025)
  • Week change: +3.56%
  • Closed near the weekly high (strong finish).
  • Close sits at/above the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation easing (volume trend falling).
  • Since signal (perf): -3.74% over 2w; MFE -0.00% (1w), MAE -5.77% (0w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
2w
Current return
3.74%
MFE
5.77% (1w)
MAE
0.00% (0w)
ST: Above MT: Above
Summary
At the threshold breach (sell) week (Fri, 5 Sep 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is 3.74% over 2 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 5.77% (1w); worst dip [MAE]: 0.00% (0w).
Current situation since SELL
Elapsed: 2w
Close then → now: 9880.010250.0
Δ: 370.0 (3.74%)
Now vs trend: ST Above, MT Above
Weekly snapshots
Date Close % from Signal ST MT Wk %
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 9880.0 0.00% Above Above 3.56%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 10450.0 5.77% Above Above -0.95%
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 10250.0 3.74% Above Above -6.82%
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 18.63% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Volume Trend Positive Rising Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -1.91% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Positive Constructive Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.
Price vs MAs Positive Above

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 74.2/100
Direction Positive Rising
Acceleration Negative decelerating
Trend State Positive Uptrend at Risk
Trend State: Uptrend at Risk — gauge 74.2/100 — 8w slope 0.83; ST slope -0.52 pts/wk ?

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 11000.00 11100.00 10250.00 10250.00 -6.82%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 10550.00 11050.00 10350.00 10450.00 -0.95%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 9540.00 9940.00 9420.00 9880.00 3.56%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 9600.00 9600.00 9320.00 9520.00 -0.83%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 9720.00 9980.00 9300.00 9600.00 -1.23%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 9700.00 9820.00 9300.00 9520.00 -1.86%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025 9620.00 9800.00 9260.00 9680.00 0.62%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025 8600.00 8860.00 8480.00 8640.00 0.47%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 74.2/100; slope 0.83 pts/wk; short-term -0.52 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 1.5 pts.
What to Watch How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 18.63425925925926, Slope: 191.9047619047619
Change Percent Vol: 2.7422618401604177, Slope: -0.5026190476190477
Volume Slope: 481.8452380952381, Z Last: 1.2902002008657412
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.73039, Z Last: -0.4919415185548709, Slope: -0.03531559523809526
Diagnostics
Volume Trend rising
Close Vs Recent High Pct -1.9138755980861244
Conv Div convergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 18.63425925925926
Ma Stack bull
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma above
Baseline Deviation 0.73039
Baseline Dir narrowing
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 18.63%. Weekly return volatility: 2.74%. Close is 1.91% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 18.63% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: rising. Latest week’s volume is 1.29σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): -0.37. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): -0.24. 26-week move: 58.18%. 52-week move: 49.87%. Price sits 0.73% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Returns are negatively correlated with volume — strength may come on lighter activity. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region. Price holds above key averages, indicating constructive participation.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 73.53875000000001, Med: 74.55250000000001, Rng: (66.214, 75.644), Vol: 2.8925401358494596, Slope: 0.8250476190476189, Last: 74.185
Diagnostics
Last Pos 74.185
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Decelerating
Last Label Bullish
State Label Uptrend at Risk
Slope 8W 0.8250476190476189
Slope Short -0.5163000000000011
Accel Value -0.954071428571429
Drawdown From Peak Pts 1.4590000000000032
Time In Bull 8
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 74.2/100; slope 0.83 pts/wk; short-term -0.52 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 1.5 pts.
  2. How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising.
  3. Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictPositive
Stars ★★★★☆
SummaryPrice window: 18. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 74. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths
  • Momentum is bullish and rising
  • Price holds above 8w & 26w averages
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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