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Weekly Market ReportContact Energy Limited CEN

ASX Signal Insights

Entity & Brand

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CompanyContact Energy Limited
TickerCEN
ExchangeASX
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
No signals in this window.
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 0.96% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 2.14% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Positive Rising Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -1.29% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Negative Weak Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.
Price vs MAs Positive Above

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 62.3/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Negative decelerating
Trend State Neutral Uptrend at Risk
Trend State: Uptrend at Risk — gauge 62.3/100 — 8w slope -0.47; ST slope -1.39 pts/wk ?

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 8.41 8.41 8.19 8.39 -0.24%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 8.26 8.26 8.15 8.15 -1.33%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 8.14 8.34 8.14 8.30 1.97%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 8.54 8.54 7.68 8.14 -4.68%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 8.16 8.35 8.15 8.35 2.33%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 8.39 8.50 8.39 8.50 1.31%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 8.23 8.23 8.23 8.23 0.00%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 8.44 8.44 8.05 8.31 -1.54%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 62.3/100; slope -0.47 pts/wk; short-term -1.39 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 6.5 pts. Recovery attempt (crossed up to ≥60).
What to Watch How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 0.9626955475330934, Slope: -0.0077380952380952
Change Percent Vol: 2.1369472969635916, Slope: -0.030714285714285725
Volume Slope: 1830.107142857143, Z Last: -0.20905735090414257
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.16759, Z Last: -0.32735997800406635, Slope: -0.008562380952380953
Diagnostics
Volume Trend rising
Close Vs Recent High Pct -1.2941176470588167
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 3.071253071253071
Ma Stack bear
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma above
Baseline Deviation 0.16759
Baseline Dir narrowing
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 0.96%. Weekly return volatility: 2.14%. Close is 1.29% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 3.07% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: rising. Latest week’s volume is -0.21σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): -0.78. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): -0.78. 26-week move: 1.21%. 52-week move: 14.43%. Price sits 0.17% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing. Moving-average stack is weak (short below intermediate below long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are negatively correlated with volume — strength may come on lighter activity. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Weak MA stack argues for caution; rallies can fail near the 8–13 week region. Price holds above key averages, indicating constructive participation.
  3. Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 63.770375, Med: 63.986999999999995, Rng: (58.001000000000005, 68.821), Vol: 3.0940748592067044, Slope: -0.4692261904761903, Last: 62.283
Diagnostics
Last Pos 62.283
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Decelerating
Last Label Neutral
State Label Uptrend at Risk
Slope 8W -0.4692261904761903
Slope Short -1.3901999999999972
Accel Value -0.2789642857142852
Drawdown From Peak Pts 6.537999999999997
Time In Bull 7
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 1
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent True
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 62.3/100; slope -0.47 pts/wk; short-term -1.39 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 6.5 pts. Recovery attempt (crossed up to ≥60).
  2. How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising.
  3. Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 0. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 62. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Price holds above 8w & 26w averages
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Weak moving-average stack
  • Liquidity diverges from price
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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