Weekly Report - Australian Agricultural Company Limited (AAC)

Entity & Brand

Company	Australian Agricultural Company Limited
Ticker	AAC
Exchange	ASX
Weeks Used	8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?

No signals in this window.

How to read this section

Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?

Metric	Signal	Value	Notes
Price Window	Positive	12.64% over 8w	Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility	Positive	1.75%	Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend	Positive	Rising	Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High	Positive	6.12%	Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
Price vs MAs	Positive	Above

Trend Overview

Metric	Signal	Value
Gauge Reading	Neutral	32.6/100
Direction	Negative	Falling
Acceleration	Positive	accelerating
Trend State	Negative	Bottoming Attempt

Trend State: Bottoming Attempt — gauge 32.6/100 — 8w slope -0.23; ST slope 1.24 pts/wk ?

Accumulation at lows 1/2 (50.0%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?

Week ending	Open	High	Low	Close	Change %	Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 22 Sep 2025	1.50	1.56	1.49	1.56	4.00%
Mon, 15 Sep 2025	1.46	1.48	1.46	1.47	0.68%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025	1.45	1.45	1.43	1.44	-1.03%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025	1.45	1.46	1.40	1.43	-1.38%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025	1.42	1.45	1.40	1.41	-0.70%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025	1.44	1.45	1.42	1.45	0.70%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025	1.46	1.47	1.43	1.44	-1.03%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025	1.41	1.41	1.39	1.39	-1.77%	—

Price Narrative

Stands Out	No highlights available.
What to Watch	No watch items available.

Trend Narrative

Stands Out	Trend focus for week ending Mon, 22 Sep 2025. Gauge: 32.6/100; slope -0.23 pts/wk; short-term 1.24 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 3.6 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 1/2 (50.0%), bias: Distributing.
What to Watch	How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics

Series
Close Price	Change Pct: 12.635379061371843, Slope: 0.016250000000000004
Change Percent	Vol: 1.7523693781563292, Slope: 0.5127380952380951
Volume	Slope: 7628.535714285715, Z Last: 1.7215236617585392
Deviation From Baseline	Last: 0.06081, Z Last: 2.284949172034801, Slope: 0.013378452380952381
Diagnostics
Volume Trend	rising
Close Vs Recent High Pct	6.122448979591842
Conv Div	convergence
Momentum Trend	weakening
Last Trend Label	Bearish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct	12.635379061371843
Ma Stack	mixed
Cross 4 8	none
Price Vs Ma	above
Baseline Deviation	0.06081
Baseline Dir	widening

What does it mean?

8-week price move: 12.64%. Weekly return volatility: 1.75%. Close is 6.12% above the prior-window 8-week high. and 12.64% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: rising. Latest week’s volume is 1.72σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.43. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.74. 26-week move: 11.43%. 52-week move: 11.43%. Price sits 0.06% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening.
How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Price is stretched above its baseline; consolidation risk rises if activity fades. Price holds above key averages, indicating constructive participation.
Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics

Series
Trend Pos	Avg: 28.324625, Med: 28.2485, Rng: (22.916, 36.174), Vol: 4.23091768820607, Slope: -0.2317738095238098, Last: 32.553
Diagnostics
Last Pos	32.553
Vol Band	normal
Acceleration Label	Accelerating
Last Label	Bearish
State Label	Bottoming Attempt
Slope 8W	-0.2317738095238098
Slope Short	1.2393999999999998
Accel Value	0.13967857142857135
Drawdown From Peak Pts	3.621000000000002
Time In Bull	0
Time In Bear	8
Time In Mid	0
High Breakdown Recent	False
Midline Failure Recent	False
Bear Control Recent	False
Recovery Mid Recent	False
Recovery Bull Recent	False
Acc Upticks	1
Acc Opportunities	2
Acc Rate	0.5
Acc Longest Streak	0
Dist Downticks	0
Dist Opportunities	0
Dist Rate	None
Dist Longest Streak	0
Low Regime Bias	Distributing
High Regime Bias	Mixed/None

What does it mean?

Trend focus for week ending Mon, 22 Sep 2025. Gauge: 32.6/100; slope -0.23 pts/wk; short-term 1.24 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 3.6 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 1/2 (50.0%), bias: Distributing.
How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.
Early improvement — look for a reclaim of 0.50→0.60 to validate.

Final Conclusion

Verdict	Neutral
Stars	★★★☆☆
Summary	Price window: 12. Trend: Bottoming Attempt; gauge 32. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths	Early improvement from bearish zone (bottoming attempt) Price holds above 8w & 26w averages Liquidity confirms the price trend Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs	Momentum is weak/falling

Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.