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Weekly Market ReportMineral Resources Limited MIN

ASX Signal Insights

Entity & Brand

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CompanyMineral Resources Limited
TickerMIN
ExchangeASX
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Smart Money Buy Mon, 4 Aug 2025
Source: smart_money
Signal close ?:
32.94
At the signal (week of Mon, 4 Aug 2025)
  • Week change: +10.91%
  • Closed near the weekly high (strong finish).
  • Close sits at/above the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation easing (volume trend falling).
  • Since signal (perf): +17.36% over 6w; MFE +0.00% (6w), MAE +17.36% (0w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
6w
Current return
17.36%
MFE
17.36% (6w)
MAE
0.00% (0w)
ST: Above MT: Above
Summary
At the smart money buy week (Mon, 4 Aug 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is 17.36% over 6 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 17.36% (6w); worst dip [MAE]: 0.00% (0w).
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 29.47% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Negative 4.47% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Positive 1.42% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Positive Constructive Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.
Price vs MAs Positive Above

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 73.5/100
Direction Positive Rising
Acceleration Positive accelerating
Gauge Volatility Neutral High
Trend State Positive Strong Uptrend
Trend State: Strong Uptrend — gauge 73.5/100 — 8w slope 8.49; ST slope 8.35 pts/wk — vol high ?
Accumulation at lows 2/2 (100.0%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 37.40 38.66 37.01 38.66 3.37%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 37.40 38.27 37.33 37.80 1.07%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 36.75 37.03 36.12 36.86 0.30%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 36.99 37.72 34.81 37.40 1.11%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 36.46 37.71 36.46 37.21 2.06%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 36.22 38.62 36.05 38.12 5.25%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 29.70 33.00 29.38 32.94 10.91%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 31.77 31.96 27.65 29.86 -6.01%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 73.5/100; slope 8.49 pts/wk; short-term 8.35 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Recovery attempt (crossed up to ≥60). Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 2/2 (100.0%), bias: Accumulating.
What to Watch How to read this — High gauge and rising momentum — buyers in control.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 29.470864032150025, Slope: 0.9798809523809522
Change Percent Vol: 4.47224426323071, Slope: 0.007857142857142826
Volume Slope: -1709098.988095238, Z Last: -0.8397379860310978
Deviation From Baseline Last: -0.30606, Z Last: 0.6748844110993725, Slope: 0.011672142857142857
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct 1.4165792235047199
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 29.470864032150025
Ma Stack bull
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma above
Baseline Deviation -0.30606
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 29.47%. Weekly return volatility: 4.47%. Close is 1.42% above the prior-window 8-week high. and 29.47% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.84σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): -0.50. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): -0.37. 26-week move: 52.93%. 52-week move: -21.33%. Price sits 0.31% below its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are negatively correlated with volume — strength may come on lighter activity. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region. Price holds above key averages, indicating constructive participation.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 45.88825, Med: 43.3965, Rng: (20.53, 73.52199999999999), Vol: 19.72488759632105, Slope: 8.493952380952383, Last: 73.52199999999999
Diagnostics
Last Pos 73.52199999999999
Vol Band high
Acceleration Label Accelerating
Last Label Bullish
State Label Strong Uptrend
Slope 8W 8.493952380952383
Slope Short 8.354999999999999
Accel Value 0.32507142857142746
Drawdown From Peak Pts 0.0
Time In Bull 3
Time In Bear 4
Time In Mid 1
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent True
Recovery Bull Recent True
Acc Upticks 2
Acc Opportunities 2
Acc Rate 1.0
Acc Longest Streak 1
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Accumulating
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 73.5/100; slope 8.49 pts/wk; short-term 8.35 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Recovery attempt (crossed up to ≥60). Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 2/2 (100.0%), bias: Accumulating.
  2. How to read this — High gauge and rising momentum — buyers in control.
  3. Bias remains higher; pullbacks could be buyable if participation holds.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNeutral
Stars ★★★☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 29. Trend: Strong Uptrend; gauge 73. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • High gauge with rising momentum (strong uptrend)
  • Momentum is bullish and rising
  • Price holds above 8w & 26w averages
  • Constructive moving-average stack
Watch-outs
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • High return volatility raises whipsaw risk
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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