Weekly Report - Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (TPH)

Entity & Brand

Company	Tri Pointe Homes, Inc.
Ticker	TPH
Exchange	NYSE
Weeks Used	8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?

No signals in this window.

How to read this section

Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?

Metric	Signal	Value	Notes
Price Window	Positive	6.72% over 8w	Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility	Positive	1.37%	Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend	Positive	Rising	Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High	Negative	-8.02%	Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack	Positive	Constructive	Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.

Trend Overview

Metric	Signal	Value
Gauge Reading	Neutral	54.2/100
Direction	Positive	Rising
Acceleration	Negative	decelerating
Gauge Volatility	Neutral	High
Trend State	Neutral	Range / Neutral

Trend State: Range / Neutral — gauge 54.2/100 — 8w slope 6.05; ST slope 5.32 pts/wk — vol high ?

Accumulation at lows 2/2 (100.0%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?

Week ending	Open	High	Low	Close	Change %	Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025	34.76	35.12	34.06	34.16	-1.73%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025	35.77	36.15	35.27	35.27	-1.40%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025	36.98	37.52	36.63	37.14	0.43%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025	35.34	35.51	35.01	35.33	-0.03%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025	34.71	36.50	34.36	35.31	1.73%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025	35.66	35.75	34.67	34.91	-2.10%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025	32.81	33.17	32.51	33.00	0.58%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025	31.54	32.22	31.07	32.01	1.49%	—

Price Narrative

Stands Out	No highlights available.
What to Watch	No watch items available.

Trend Narrative

Stands Out	Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 54.2/100; slope 6.05 pts/wk; short-term 5.32 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Recovery attempt (crossed up to ≥50). Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 2/2 (100.0%), bias: Accumulating.
What to Watch	How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics

Series
Close Price	Change Pct: 6.71665104654795, Slope: 0.39416666666666683
Change Percent	Vol: 1.367730213711754, Slope: -0.3167857142857143
Volume	Slope: 88315.47619047618, Z Last: 1.3248688397523942
Deviation From Baseline	Last: 0.05944, Z Last: -1.4604251088992986, Slope: -0.014596309523809525
Diagnostics
Volume Trend	rising
Close Vs Recent High Pct	-8.023694130317727
Conv Div	convergence
Momentum Trend	improving
Last Trend Label	Neutral
Close Vs Recent Low Pct	6.71665104654795
Ma Stack	bull
Cross 4 8	none
Price Vs Ma	mixed
Baseline Deviation	0.05944
Baseline Dir	narrowing

What does it mean?

8-week price move: 6.72%. Weekly return volatility: 1.37%. Close is 8.02% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 6.72% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: rising. Latest week’s volume is 1.32σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.28. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.08. 26-week move: 11.42%. 52-week move: -23.80%. Price sits 0.06% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region.
Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics

Series
Trend Pos	Avg: 34.436125, Med: 37.5385, Rng: (12.472999999999999, 54.244), Vol: 14.208182945379574, Slope: 6.050916666666666, Last: 54.244
Diagnostics
Last Pos	54.244
Vol Band	high
Acceleration Label	Decelerating
Last Label	Neutral
State Label	Range / Neutral
Slope 8W	6.050916666666666
Slope Short	5.321900000000001
Accel Value	-0.30789285714285736
Drawdown From Peak Pts	0.0
Time In Bull	0
Time In Bear	5
Time In Mid	3
High Breakdown Recent	False
Midline Failure Recent	False
Bear Control Recent	False
Recovery Mid Recent	True
Recovery Bull Recent	False
Acc Upticks	2
Acc Opportunities	2
Acc Rate	1.0
Acc Longest Streak	1
Dist Downticks	0
Dist Opportunities	0
Dist Rate	None
Dist Longest Streak	0
Low Regime Bias	Accumulating
High Regime Bias	Mixed/None

What does it mean?

Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 54.2/100; slope 6.05 pts/wk; short-term 5.32 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Recovery attempt (crossed up to ≥50). Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 2/2 (100.0%), bias: Accumulating.
How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.
Wait for a directional break or improving acceleration.

Final Conclusion

Verdict	Positive
Stars	★★★★☆
Summary	Price window: 6. Trend: Range / Neutral; gauge 54. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths	Constructive moving-average stack Liquidity confirms the price trend Low return volatility supports durability Buyers step in at depressed levels (accumulation)
Watch-outs	Price is not above key averages

Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.