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Entity & Brand

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CompanySmurfit Westrock Plc
TickerSW
ExchangeNYSE
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
No signals in this window.
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Negative -1.20% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 2.38% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Positive Rising Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -7.47% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
Price vs MAs Negative Below

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 41.0/100
Direction Positive Rising
Acceleration Negative decelerating
Gauge Volatility Neutral High
Trend State Neutral Range / Neutral
Trend State: Range / Neutral — gauge 41.0/100 — 8w slope 4.29; ST slope 1.71 pts/wk — vol high ?
Accumulation at lows 3/3 (100.0%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 44.32 44.40 43.20 43.82 -1.12%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 45.03 45.35 44.22 44.27 -1.69%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 46.33 47.27 46.19 46.91 1.25%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 46.37 47.47 46.29 47.36 2.14%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 43.80 46.43 43.78 46.39 5.91%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 42.87 42.91 41.92 42.27 -1.41%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025 43.89 44.01 43.26 43.63 -0.59%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025 44.49 44.75 43.69 44.35 -0.31% —

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 41.0/100; slope 4.29 pts/wk; short-term 1.71 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/3 (100.0%), bias: Accumulating.
What to Watch How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: -1.1950394588500588, Slope: 0.1712190476190475
Change Percent Vol: 2.3829852601306625, Slope: -0.08285714285714287
Volume Slope: 1082938.0952380951, Z Last: 1.6898297104708164
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.09416, Z Last: -0.5131357741689876, Slope: 0.007149404761904762
Diagnostics
Volume Trend rising
Close Vs Recent High Pct -7.47466216216216
Conv Div convergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bearish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 3.668865273059349
Ma Stack mixed
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma below
Baseline Deviation 0.09416
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: -1.20%. Weekly return volatility: 2.38%. Close is 7.47% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 3.67% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: rising. Latest week’s volume is 1.69σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.46. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.14. 26-week move: 3.56%. 52-week move: -3.82%. Price sits 0.09% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Price sits below key averages, keeping pressure on the tape.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 29.959125, Med: 34.292, Rng: (15.238, 40.98), Vol: 10.377039937254505, Slope: 4.293297619047618, Last: 40.98
Diagnostics
Last Pos 40.98
Vol Band high
Acceleration Label Decelerating
Last Label Neutral
State Label Range / Neutral
Slope 8W 4.293297619047618
Slope Short 1.7058
Accel Value -0.528607142857143
Drawdown From Peak Pts 0.0
Time In Bull 0
Time In Bear 6
Time In Mid 2
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 3
Acc Opportunities 3
Acc Rate 1.0
Acc Longest Streak 2
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Accumulating
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 41.0/100; slope 4.29 pts/wk; short-term 1.71 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/3 (100.0%), bias: Accumulating.
  2. How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.
  3. Wait for a directional break or improving acceleration.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictPositive
Stars ★★★★☆
SummaryPrice window: -1. Trend: Range / Neutral; gauge 41. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
  • Buyers step in at depressed levels (accumulation)
Watch-outs
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Negative multi-week performance
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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