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Weekly Market ReportNew Hope Corporation Limited NHC

ASX Signal Insights

Entity & Brand

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CompanyNew Hope Corporation Limited
TickerNHC
ExchangeASX
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Investor Buy Mon, 25 Aug 2025
Source: smart_money
Signal close ?:
4.43
At the signal (week of Mon, 25 Aug 2025)
  • Week change: +0.91%
  • Close sits below the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation improving (volume trend rising).
  • Since signal (perf): -1.58% over 3w; MFE -1.58% (1w), MAE +2.03% (3w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
3w
Current return
-1.58%
MFE
2.03% (1w)
MAE
-1.58% (3w)
ST: Below MT: Below
Summary
At the investor buy week (Mon, 25 Aug 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is -1.58% over 3 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 2.03% (1w); worst dip [MAE]: -1.58% (3w).
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 4.31% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 1.61% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -4.39% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Positive Constructive Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 59.5/100
Direction Positive Rising
Acceleration Negative decelerating
Gauge Volatility Neutral High
Trend State Neutral Range / Neutral
Trend State: Range / Neutral — gauge 59.5/100 — 8w slope 5.73; ST slope 1.52 pts/wk — vol high ?

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 4.32 4.37 4.25 4.36 0.93%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 4.48 4.50 4.43 4.46 -0.45%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 4.47 4.54 4.43 4.52 1.12%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 4.39 4.48 4.36 4.43 0.91%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 4.43 4.43 4.27 4.40 -0.68%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 4.52 4.59 4.51 4.56 0.88%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 4.15 4.33 4.13 4.28 3.13%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 4.30 4.34 4.09 4.18 -2.79%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 59.5/100; slope 5.73 pts/wk; short-term 1.52 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts.
What to Watch How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 4.306220095693795, Slope: 0.024642857142857168
Change Percent Vol: 1.6126409822089973, Slope: 0.12440476190476193
Volume Slope: -789244.1547619047, Z Last: -0.9097375420261068
Deviation From Baseline Last: -0.02248, Z Last: -1.1104071503683648, Slope: -0.04492059523809524
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -4.385964912280686
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 4.306220095693795
Ma Stack bull
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation -0.02248
Baseline Dir narrowing
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 4.31%. Weekly return volatility: 1.61%. Close is 4.39% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 4.31% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.91σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): -0.54. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): -0.75. 26-week move: 19.67%. 52-week move: -5.87%. Price sits 0.02% below its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are negatively correlated with volume — strength may come on lighter activity. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 44.611125, Med: 49.278000000000006, Rng: (23.189999999999998, 59.467999999999996), Vol: 13.711096477283464, Slope: 5.727678571428571, Last: 59.467999999999996
Diagnostics
Last Pos 59.467999999999996
Vol Band high
Acceleration Label Decelerating
Last Label Neutral
State Label Range / Neutral
Slope 8W 5.727678571428571
Slope Short 1.5177999999999998
Accel Value -0.9377500000000005
Drawdown From Peak Pts 0.0
Time In Bull 0
Time In Bear 3
Time In Mid 5
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 1
Acc Opportunities 1
Acc Rate 1.0
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 59.5/100; slope 5.73 pts/wk; short-term 1.52 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts.
  2. How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.
  3. Wait for a directional break or improving acceleration.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNeutral
Stars ★★★☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 4. Trend: Range / Neutral; gauge 59. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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