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Entity & Brand

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CompanyNordrest Holding AB (publ)
TickerNREST
ExchangeSTO
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Threshold Breach (Sell) Mon, 25 Aug 2025
Source: market_cycle
Signal close ?:
219.5
At the signal (week of Mon, 25 Aug 2025)
  • Week change: +15.77%
  • Closed near the weekly high (strong finish).
  • Close sits at/above the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation improving (volume trend rising).
  • Since signal (perf): +5.24% over 4w; MFE +7.06% (2w), MAE -0.46% (3w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
4w
Current return
-5.24%
MFE
0.46% (2w)
MAE
-7.06% (3w)
ST: Below MT: Below
Summary
At the threshold breach (sell) week (Mon, 25 Aug 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is -5.24% over 4 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 0.46% (2w); worst dip [MAE]: -7.06% (3w).
Current situation since SELL
Elapsed: 4w
Close then → now: 219.5208.0
Δ: -11.5 (-5.24%)
Now vs trend: ST Below, MT Below
Weekly snapshots
Date Close % from Signal ST MT Wk %
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 219.5 0.00% Above Above 15.77%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 216.0 -1.59% Above Above -1.59%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 220.5 0.46% Above Above 2.56%
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 204.0 -7.06% Below Below -5.34%
Mon, 22 Sep 2025 208.0 -5.24% Below Below -0.48%
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 1.96% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Negative 6.06% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -5.67% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Positive Constructive Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 83.9/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Positive accelerating
Gauge Volatility Neutral Low
Trend State Positive Range / Neutral
Trend State: Range / Neutral — gauge 83.9/100 — 8w slope -0.77; ST slope 0.33 pts/wk — vol low ?
Distribution at highs 4/7 (57.1%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 22 Sep 2025 209.00 211.00 204.50 208.00 -0.48%
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 215.50 218.50 204.00 204.00 -5.34%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 215.00 226.50 214.00 220.50 2.56%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 219.50 228.00 214.50 216.00 -1.59%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 189.60 231.00 189.60 219.50 15.77%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 200.50 203.50 199.80 201.00 0.25%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 204.50 212.00 198.00 199.60 -2.40%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 194.20 204.00 189.60 204.00 5.05%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 22 Sep 2025. Gauge: 83.9/100; slope -0.77 pts/wk; short-term 0.33 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 4.0 pts. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 4/7 (57.1%), bias: Distributing.
What to Watch How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 1.9607843137254901, Slope: 1.2500000000000004
Change Percent Vol: 6.0618845048384085, Slope: -0.7599999999999999
Volume Slope: -1374.4404761904761, Z Last: -0.2739568374740044
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.50833, Z Last: -0.9076781273029947, Slope: -0.0022885714285714362
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -5.6689342403628125
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 4.2084168336673375
Ma Stack bull
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation 0.50833
Baseline Dir narrowing
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 1.96%. Weekly return volatility: 6.06%. Close is 5.67% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 4.21% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.27σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.87. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.74. 26-week move: 60.40%. 52-week move: 71.41%. Price sits 0.51% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 84.919375, Med: 84.1515, Rng: (82.145, 87.809), Vol: 2.0662158610307406, Slope: -0.7683690476190482, Last: 83.857
Diagnostics
Last Pos 83.857
Vol Band low
Acceleration Label Accelerating
Last Label Bullish
State Label Range / Neutral
Slope 8W -0.7683690476190482
Slope Short 0.32579999999999953
Accel Value 0.25960714285714354
Drawdown From Peak Pts 3.951999999999998
Time In Bull 8
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 4
Dist Opportunities 7
Dist Rate 0.5714285714285714
Dist Longest Streak 4
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Distributing
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 22 Sep 2025. Gauge: 83.9/100; slope -0.77 pts/wk; short-term 0.33 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 4.0 pts. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 4/7 (57.1%), bias: Distributing.
  2. How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.
  3. Wait for a directional break or improving acceleration.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 1. Trend: Range / Neutral; gauge 83. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Constructive moving-average stack
Watch-outs
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • High return volatility raises whipsaw risk
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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