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Entity & Brand

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CompanyVodafone Group Public Limited Company
TickerVOD
ExchangeNASDAQ
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Threshold Breach (Sell) Fri, 22 Aug 2025
Source: market_cycle
Signal close ?:
11.92
At the signal (week of Fri, 22 Aug 2025)
  • Week change: +0.17%
  • Close sits at/above the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation improving (volume trend rising).
  • Since signal (perf): +4.28% over 4w; MFE +4.28% (1w), MAE -0.34% (4w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
4w
Current return
-4.28%
MFE
0.34% (1w)
MAE
-4.28% (4w)
ST: Below MT: Below
Summary
At the threshold breach (sell) week (Fri, 22 Aug 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is -4.28% over 4 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 0.34% (1w); worst dip [MAE]: -4.28% (4w).
Current situation since SELL
Elapsed: 4w
Close then → now: 11.9211.41
Δ: -0.51 (-4.28%)
Now vs trend: ST Below, MT Below
Weekly snapshots
Date Close % from Signal ST MT Wk %
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 11.92 0.00% Above Above 0.17%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 11.96 0.34% Above Above 1.53%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 11.81 -0.92% Below Above -0.17%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 11.85 -0.59% Near Above 0.00%
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 11.41 -4.28% Below Below -0.26%
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 4.11% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 0.54% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -4.60% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Positive Constructive Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 80.5/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Negative decelerating
Gauge Volatility Neutral Low
Trend State Positive Uptrend at Risk
Trend State: Uptrend at Risk — gauge 80.5/100 — 8w slope -0.71; ST slope -1.63 pts/wk — vol low ?
Distribution at highs 3/5 (60.0%) High-regime breakdown (from ≥0.80)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 11.44 11.47 11.40 11.41 -0.26%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 11.85 11.89 11.81 11.85 0.00%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 11.83 11.93 11.80 11.81 -0.17%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 11.78 11.96 11.78 11.96 1.53%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 11.90 12.06 11.75 11.92 0.17%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 11.62 11.69 11.62 11.67 0.43%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025 11.37 11.40 11.34 11.36 -0.09%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025 10.96 11.01 10.89 10.96 0.00%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 80.5/100; slope -0.71 pts/wk; short-term -1.63 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 5.4 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 3/5 (60.0%), bias: Distributing.
What to Watch How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 4.105839416058387, Slope: 0.07214285714285713
Change Percent Vol: 0.5402878283840938, Slope: -0.021547619047619048
Volume Slope: -836853.5714285715, Z Last: -0.3728500395724827
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.29369, Z Last: 0.3015745008730406, Slope: 0.03583690476190476
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -4.598662207357865
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 4.105839416058387
Ma Stack bull
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation 0.29369
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 4.11%. Weekly return volatility: 0.54%. Close is 4.60% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 4.11% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.37σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): -0.06. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): -0.59. 26-week move: 24.87%. 52-week move: 24.14%. Price sits 0.29% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 83.00687500000001, Med: 83.78800000000001, Rng: (79.821, 85.848), Vol: 2.3851374927611593, Slope: -0.7126785714285714, Last: 80.46900000000001
Diagnostics
Last Pos 80.46900000000001
Vol Band low
Acceleration Label Decelerating
Last Label Bullish
State Label Uptrend at Risk
Slope 8W -0.7126785714285714
Slope Short -1.6281999999999983
Accel Value -0.14482142857142727
Drawdown From Peak Pts 5.378999999999991
Time In Bull 8
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent True
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 3
Dist Opportunities 5
Dist Rate 0.6
Dist Longest Streak 2
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Distributing
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 80.5/100; slope -0.71 pts/wk; short-term -1.63 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 5.4 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 3/5 (60.0%), bias: Distributing.
  2. How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.
  3. Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 4. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 80. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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