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Weekly Market ReportMercari, Inc. 4385

TYO Signal Insights

Entity & Brand

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CompanyMercari, Inc.
Ticker4385
ExchangeTYO
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
No signals in this window.
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Negative -0.85% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 1.71% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -8.21% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
Price vs MAs Negative Below

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 51.9/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Negative decelerating
Gauge Volatility Neutral High
Trend State Neutral Range / Neutral
Momentum Drawdown Negative 29.2 pts from 8w peak
Trend State: Range / Neutral — gauge 51.9/100 — 8w slope -4.43; ST slope -8.30 pts/wk — drawdown 29.2 pts from peak — vol high ?
Distribution at highs 2/2 (100.0%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 2356.00 2376.00 2314.50 2327.00 -1.23%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 2479.50 2541.50 2457.00 2535.00 2.24%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 2398.00 2513.00 2333.00 2501.00 4.30%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 2220.00 2268.00 2212.00 2250.00 1.35%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 2189.00 2252.00 2160.00 2200.00 0.50%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 2308.00 2378.00 2307.00 2315.00 0.30%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 2347.00 2370.50 2262.00 2352.50 0.23%
Mon, 21 Jul 2025 2375.50 2474.00 2345.00 2347.00 -1.20%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 08 Sep 2025. Gauge: 51.9/100; slope -4.43 pts/wk; short-term -8.30 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 29.2 pts. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 2/2 (100.0%), bias: Distributing.
What to Watch How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: -0.8521516829995739, Slope: 16.43452380952381
Change Percent Vol: 1.710660965095071, Slope: 0.2701190476190477
Volume Slope: -796422.619047619, Z Last: -0.973467213809045
Deviation From Baseline Last: -0.06181, Z Last: 0.89897644631063, Slope: 0.04650738095238095
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -8.205128205128204
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Neutral
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 5.7727272727272725
Ma Stack mixed
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma below
Baseline Deviation -0.06181
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: -0.85%. Weekly return volatility: 1.71%. Close is 8.21% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 5.77% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.97σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.50. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.29. 26-week move: -11.64%. 52-week move: -13.32%. Price sits 0.06% below its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Price sits below key averages, keeping pressure on the tape.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 70.449, Med: 74.72550000000001, Rng: (51.944, 81.11500000000001), Vol: 11.01597006622658, Slope: -4.428690476190477, Last: 51.944
Diagnostics
Last Pos 51.944
Vol Band high
Acceleration Label Decelerating
Last Label Neutral
State Label Range / Neutral
Slope 8W -4.428690476190477
Slope Short -8.2982
Accel Value -1.1198571428571409
Drawdown From Peak Pts 29.171000000000006
Time In Bull 6
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 2
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 2
Dist Opportunities 2
Dist Rate 1.0
Dist Longest Streak 1
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Distributing
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 08 Sep 2025. Gauge: 51.9/100; slope -4.43 pts/wk; short-term -8.30 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 29.2 pts. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 2/2 (100.0%), bias: Distributing.
  2. How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.
  3. Wait for a directional break or improving acceleration.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: -0. Trend: Range / Neutral; gauge 51. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • Negative multi-week performance
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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