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Entity & Brand

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CompanyAssured Guaranty Ltd.
TickerAGO
ExchangeNYSE
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
No signals in this window.
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Negative -0.25% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 0.97% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Positive Rising Slope of weekly volume across the window.
4–8 Crossover Positive Bullish

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 22.3/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Negative decelerating
Trend State Negative Downtrend Confirmed
Momentum Drawdown Negative 13.9 pts from 8w peak
Trend State: Downtrend Confirmed — gauge 22.3/100 — 8w slope -0.94; ST slope -0.22 pts/wk — drawdown 13.9 pts from peak ?
Accumulation at lows 3/5 (60.0%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 83.12 83.92 82.90 83.63 0.61%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 82.87 83.18 82.39 82.49 -0.46%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 82.82 83.39 82.14 82.18 -0.77%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 82.20 82.64 81.48 82.20 0.00%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 81.58 82.58 80.79 81.90 0.39%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 82.47 82.59 80.49 80.50 -2.39%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025 83.30 84.11 81.89 81.89 -1.69%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025 83.91 84.30 83.07 83.84 -0.08% —

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 22.3/100; slope -0.94 pts/wk; short-term -0.22 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 13.9 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/5 (60.0%), bias: Accumulating.
What to Watch How to read this — Bearish zone with falling momentum — sellers in control.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: -0.2504770992366507, Slope: 0.08178571428571349
Change Percent Vol: 0.9678770260213846, Slope: 0.1839285714285714
Volume Slope: 26480.95238095238, Z Last: 1.004820880498485
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.15338, Z Last: -0.6467975783036853, Slope: -0.02997857142857143
Diagnostics
Volume Trend rising
Close Vs Recent High Pct -0.2504770992366507
Conv Div convergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Bearish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 3.8881987577639694
Ma Stack mixed
Cross 4 8 up
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation 0.15338
Baseline Dir narrowing
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: -0.25%. Weekly return volatility: 0.97%. Close is 0.25% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 3.89% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: rising. Latest week’s volume is 1.00σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.53. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.30. 26-week move: -0.14%. 52-week move: 5.01%. Price sits 0.15% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing. A short-term average has just crossed above the intermediate average.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Fresh short-term crossover improves near-term tone.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 25.3575, Med: 22.872999999999998, Rng: (21.947, 36.239), Vol: 4.827697587877682, Slope: -0.9399761904761903, Last: 22.345000000000002
Diagnostics
Last Pos 22.345000000000002
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Decelerating
Last Label Bearish
State Label Downtrend Confirmed
Slope 8W -0.9399761904761903
Slope Short -0.22299999999999862
Accel Value -0.9175714285714285
Drawdown From Peak Pts 13.893999999999995
Time In Bull 0
Time In Bear 8
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 3
Acc Opportunities 5
Acc Rate 0.6
Acc Longest Streak 1
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Accumulating
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 22.3/100; slope -0.94 pts/wk; short-term -0.22 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 13.9 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/5 (60.0%), bias: Accumulating.
  2. How to read this — Bearish zone with falling momentum — sellers in control.
  3. Bias remains lower; rallies are suspect unless gauge reclaims 0.50/0.60.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: -0. Trend: Downtrend Confirmed; gauge 22. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
  • Low return volatility supports durability
  • Buyers step in at depressed levels (accumulation)
Watch-outs
  • Bearish control with falling momentum
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Negative multi-week performance
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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