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Weekly Market ReportK.M. Sugar Mills Limited KMSUGAR

NSE Signal Insights

Entity & Brand

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CompanyK.M. Sugar Mills Limited
TickerKMSUGAR
ExchangeNSE
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Accumulation Mon, 8 Sep 2025
Source: smart_money
Signal close ?:
28.57
At the signal (week of Mon, 8 Sep 2025)
  • Week change: -1.41%
  • Closed near the weekly low (soft finish).
  • Close sits at/above the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation improving (volume trend rising).
  • Since signal (perf): -1.37% over 1w; MFE -1.37% (0w), MAE +0.00% (1w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
1w
Current return
-1.37%
MFE
0.00% (0w)
MAE
-1.37% (1w)
ST: Near MT: Above
Summary
At the accumulation week (Mon, 8 Sep 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is -1.37% over 1 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 0.00% (0w); worst dip [MAE]: -1.37% (1w).
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 5.23% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -2.63% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Negative Weak Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.
4–8 Crossover Negative Bearish

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 17.3/100
Direction Positive Rising
Acceleration Positive accelerating
Gauge Volatility Neutral Low
Trend State Neutral Range / Neutral
Trend State: Range / Neutral — gauge 17.3/100 — 8w slope 0.21; ST slope 0.93 pts/wk — vol low ?

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 28.29 28.45 28.02 28.18 -0.39%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 28.98 29.20 28.50 28.57 -1.41%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 27.60 27.96 26.80 27.46 -0.51%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 28.85 28.85 27.22 27.32 -5.30%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 28.93 28.95 28.46 28.71 -0.76%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 28.65 29.00 28.36 28.94 1.01%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 26.78 29.11 25.62 28.35 5.86%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 26.82 28.00 26.67 26.78 -0.15%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 17.3/100; slope 0.21 pts/wk; short-term 0.93 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.1 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/7 (42.9%), bias: Distributing.
What to Watch How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 5.227781926811048, Slope: 0.06035714285714265
Change Percent Vol: 2.874669274455759, Slope: -0.5610714285714286
Volume Slope: -64238.369047619046, Z Last: -0.6675579015954706
Deviation From Baseline Last: -0.10466, Z Last: -0.648422864220705, Slope: -0.01051261904761905
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -2.6261230131306204
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bearish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 5.227781926811048
Ma Stack bear
Cross 4 8 down
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation -0.10466
Baseline Dir narrowing
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 5.23%. Weekly return volatility: 2.87%. Close is 2.63% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 5.23% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.67σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.74. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.38. 26-week move: 4.02%. 52-week move: -31.37%. Price sits 0.10% below its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing. Moving-average stack is weak (short below intermediate below long). A short-term average has just crossed below the intermediate average.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Weak MA stack argues for caution; rallies can fail near the 8–13 week region. Fresh short-term downside crossover weakens near-term tone.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 15.652, Med: 15.4355, Rng: (13.350999999999999, 17.366), Vol: 1.2533397384588112, Slope: 0.20507142857142877, Last: 17.263
Diagnostics
Last Pos 17.263
Vol Band low
Acceleration Label Accelerating
Last Label Neutral
State Label Range / Neutral
Slope 8W 0.20507142857142877
Slope Short 0.9298000000000004
Accel Value 0.34414285714285736
Drawdown From Peak Pts 0.10299999999999798
Time In Bull 0
Time In Bear 8
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 3
Acc Opportunities 7
Acc Rate 0.42857142857142855
Acc Longest Streak 3
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Distributing
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 17.3/100; slope 0.21 pts/wk; short-term 0.93 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.1 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/7 (42.9%), bias: Distributing.
  2. How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.
  3. Wait for a directional break or improving acceleration.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNeutral
Stars ★★★☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 5. Trend: Range / Neutral; gauge 17. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
StrengthsNone listed.
Watch-outs
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Weak moving-average stack
  • Liquidity diverges from price
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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