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Entity & Brand

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CompanyInvesco Mortgage Capital Inc.
TickerIVR
ExchangeNYSE
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
No signals in this window.
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Negative -3.17% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 1.07% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Positive Rising Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -8.02% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Positive Constructive Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 63.2/100
Direction Positive Rising
Trend State Positive Range / Neutral
Trend State: Range / Neutral — gauge 63.2/100 — 8w slope 1.94; ST slope 2.72 pts/wk ?

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 7.46 7.47 7.34 7.34 -1.61%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 7.61 7.68 7.56 7.57 -0.53%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 8.03 8.07 7.94 7.98 -0.62%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 7.77 7.83 7.75 7.82 0.64%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 7.59 7.82 7.59 7.76 2.24%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 7.71 7.75 7.66 7.67 -0.52%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025 7.65 7.72 7.60 7.61 -0.52%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025 7.57 7.63 7.50 7.58 0.13% —

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 63.2/100; slope 1.94 pts/wk; short-term 2.72 pts/wk; steady. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Recovery attempt (crossed up to ≥60).
What to Watch How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: -3.166226912928763, Slope: -0.010595238095238092
Change Percent Vol: 1.0702971258019898, Slope: -0.1682142857142857
Volume Slope: 151738.09523809524, Z Last: 0.31568480643363533
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.00571, Z Last: 0.4049250370242468, Slope: 0.04677833333333334
Diagnostics
Volume Trend rising
Close Vs Recent High Pct -8.02005012531329
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct -3.0383091149273502
Ma Stack bull
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation 0.00571
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: -3.17%. Weekly return volatility: 1.07%. Close is 8.02% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 3.04% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: rising. Latest week’s volume is 0.32σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.61. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.29. 26-week move: 2.01%. 52-week move: -2.86%. Price sits 0.01% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region.
  3. Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 55.0985, Med: 55.285, Rng: (46.851, 63.214000000000006), Vol: 4.625818792386923, Slope: 1.9390714285714286, Last: 63.214000000000006
Diagnostics
Last Pos 63.214000000000006
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Steady
Last Label Bullish
State Label Range / Neutral
Slope 8W 1.9390714285714286
Slope Short 2.7245000000000004
Accel Value -0.018857142857142555
Drawdown From Peak Pts 0.0
Time In Bull 1
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 7
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent True
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 63.2/100; slope 1.94 pts/wk; short-term 2.72 pts/wk; steady. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Recovery attempt (crossed up to ≥60).
  2. How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.
  3. Wait for a directional break or improving acceleration.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNeutral
Stars ★★★☆☆
SummaryPrice window: -3. Trend: Range / Neutral; gauge 63. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Momentum is bullish and rising
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • Negative multi-week performance
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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