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Entity & Brand

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CompanyChutian Dragon Co., Ltd.
Ticker003040
ExchangeSHE
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Threshold Breach (Sell) Mon, 4 Aug 2025
Source: market_cycle
Signal close ?:
26.21
At the signal (week of Mon, 4 Aug 2025)
  • Week change: +20.40%
  • Closed near the weekly high (strong finish).
  • Close sits at/above the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation easing (volume trend falling).
  • Since signal (perf): +14.04% over 6w; MFE +14.04% (1w), MAE -3.32% (6w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
6w
Current return
-14.04%
MFE
3.32% (1w)
MAE
-14.04% (6w)
ST: Below MT: Below
Summary
At the threshold breach (sell) week (Mon, 4 Aug 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is -14.04% over 6 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 3.32% (1w); worst dip [MAE]: -14.04% (6w).
Current situation since SELL
Elapsed: 6w
Close then → now: 26.2122.53
Δ: -3.68 (-14.04%)
Now vs trend: ST Below, MT Below
Weekly snapshots
Date Close % from Signal ST MT Wk %
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 26.21 0.00% Above Above 20.40%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 27.08 3.32% Above Above 6.20%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 26.8 2.25% Near Above -0.07%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 24.23 -7.55% Below Below -7.20%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 24.87 -5.11% Below Below 2.22%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 23.99 -8.47% Below Below 0.80%
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 22.53 -14.04% Below Below -0.57%
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 2.18% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Negative 8.38% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -16.80% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
4–8 Crossover Negative Bearish

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 83.2/100
Direction Positive Rising
Acceleration Negative decelerating
Gauge Volatility Neutral Low
Trend State Positive Uptrend at Risk
Trend State: Uptrend at Risk — gauge 83.2/100 — 8w slope 0.52; ST slope -1.59 pts/wk — vol low ?

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 22.66 23.07 22.50 22.53 -0.57%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 23.80 24.36 23.61 23.99 0.80%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 24.33 25.17 24.30 24.87 2.22%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 26.11 26.80 23.33 24.23 -7.20%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 26.82 27.59 26.06 26.80 -0.07%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 25.50 29.16 25.30 27.08 6.20%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 21.77 26.21 21.58 26.21 20.40%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 24.09 25.46 21.75 22.05 -8.47%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 83.2/100; slope 0.52 pts/wk; short-term -1.59 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 4.7 pts. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 2/7 (28.6%), bias: Accumulating.
What to Watch How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 2.1768707482993217, Slope: -0.2016666666666667
Change Percent Vol: 8.38103952010131, Slope: -0.7353571428571426
Volume Slope: -47967565.71428572, Z Last: -1.013706875483565
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.3815, Z Last: -0.30340768112436883, Slope: 0.02653964285714286
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -16.802067946824213
Conv Div convergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 2.1768707482993217
Ma Stack mixed
Cross 4 8 down
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation 0.3815
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 2.18%. Weekly return volatility: 8.38%. Close is 16.80% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 2.18% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -1.01σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.40. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.25. 26-week move: 79.08%. 52-week move: 101.62%. Price sits 0.38% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening. A short-term average has just crossed below the intermediate average.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Fresh short-term downside crossover weakens near-term tone.
  3. Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 83.47425, Med: 83.1155, Rng: (80.037, 87.86), Vol: 2.47053039598787, Slope: 0.5197142857142852, Last: 83.176
Diagnostics
Last Pos 83.176
Vol Band low
Acceleration Label Decelerating
Last Label Bullish
State Label Uptrend at Risk
Slope 8W 0.5197142857142852
Slope Short -1.5940999999999987
Accel Value -0.5336428571428569
Drawdown From Peak Pts 4.6839999999999975
Time In Bull 8
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 2
Dist Opportunities 7
Dist Rate 0.2857142857142857
Dist Longest Streak 2
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Accumulating
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 83.2/100; slope 0.52 pts/wk; short-term -1.59 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 4.7 pts. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 2/7 (28.6%), bias: Accumulating.
  2. How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising.
  3. Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 2. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 83. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths
  • Momentum is bullish and rising
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Price is not above key averages
  • High return volatility raises whipsaw risk
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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