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Entity & Brand

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CompanyCogelec SA
TickerALLEC
ExchangeEPA
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
No signals in this window.
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Negative -0.69% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 0.32% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -0.69% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
Baseline Deviation Positive 1.39% (narrowing)

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 80.8/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Negative decelerating
Trend State Neutral Uptrend at Risk
Trend State: Uptrend at Risk — gauge 80.8/100 — 8w slope -0.95; ST slope -2.34 pts/wk ?
Distribution at highs 5/7 (71.4%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 28.70 28.80 28.70 28.80 0.35%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 28.90 28.90 28.80 28.90 0.00%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 28.80 29.00 28.80 28.80 0.00%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 28.70 29.00 28.60 28.90 0.70%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 28.80 28.80 28.80 28.80 0.00%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 29.00 29.00 28.90 28.90 -0.34%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 29.00 29.00 28.90 28.90 -0.34%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 29.00 29.20 28.90 29.00 0.00% —

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 80.8/100; slope -0.95 pts/wk; short-term -2.34 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 6.7 pts. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 5/7 (71.4%), bias: Distributing.
What to Watch How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: -0.6896551724137907, Slope: -0.01904761904761894
Change Percent Vol: 0.3214396327461814, Slope: 0.06988095238095238
Volume Slope: -9625.988095238095, Z Last: -0.7727487211897781
Deviation From Baseline Last: 1.38867, Z Last: -1.1894628369285378, Slope: -0.10039476190476192
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -0.6896551724137907
Conv Div convergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 0.0
Ma Stack mixed
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation 1.38867
Baseline Dir narrowing
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: -0.69%. Weekly return volatility: 0.32%. Close is 0.69% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 0.00% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.77σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.08. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.75. 26-week move: 47.34%. 52-week move: 141.54%. Price sits 1.39% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track.
  3. Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 85.302375, Med: 86.4965, Rng: (80.797, 87.47399999999999), Vol: 2.5310266166863986, Slope: -0.9509880952380956, Last: 80.797
Diagnostics
Last Pos 80.797
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Decelerating
Last Label Neutral
State Label Uptrend at Risk
Slope 8W -0.9509880952380956
Slope Short -2.3390999999999975
Accel Value -0.3548214285714291
Drawdown From Peak Pts 6.6769999999999925
Time In Bull 8
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 5
Dist Opportunities 7
Dist Rate 0.7142857142857143
Dist Longest Streak 3
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Distributing
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 80.8/100; slope -0.95 pts/wk; short-term -2.34 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 6.7 pts. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 5/7 (71.4%), bias: Distributing.
  2. How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising.
  3. Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: -0. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 80. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Negative multi-week performance
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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