Weekly Report - Indian Railway Catering & Tourism Corporation Limited (IRCTC)

Entity & Brand

Company	Indian Railway Catering & Tourism Corporation Limited
Ticker	IRCTC
Exchange	NSE
Weeks Used	8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?

No signals in this window.

How to read this section

Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?

Metric	Signal	Value	Notes
Price Window	Positive	0.84% over 8w	Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility	Positive	2.09%	Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend	Negative	Falling	Slope of weekly volume across the window.
MA Stack	Negative	Weak	Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.

Trend Overview

Metric	Signal	Value
Gauge Reading	Neutral	30.1/100
Direction	Negative	Falling
Acceleration	Negative	decelerating
Gauge Volatility	Neutral	High
Trend State	Negative	Downtrend Confirmed
Momentum Drawdown	Negative	28.7 pts from 8w peak

Trend State: Downtrend Confirmed — gauge 30.1/100 — 8w slope -1.89; ST slope -9.43 pts/wk — drawdown 28.7 pts from peak — vol high ?

Bear control (sub-0.40)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?

Week ending	Open	High	Low	Close	Change %	Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025	722.95	730.30	722.55	725.25	0.32%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025	714.00	718.50	711.80	713.10	-0.13%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025	692.50	705.95	691.40	703.95	1.65%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025	726.75	727.55	689.80	691.95	-4.79%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025	730.00	731.80	720.40	721.90	-1.11%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025	718.70	725.35	716.25	723.30	0.64%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025	717.00	743.00	712.70	718.95	0.27%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025	746.50	750.00	716.00	719.20	-3.66%	—

Price Narrative

Stands Out	No highlights available.
What to Watch	No watch items available.

Trend Narrative

Stands Out	Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 30.1/100; slope -1.89 pts/wk; short-term -9.43 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 28.7 pts. Bear control regained (sub-40).
What to Watch	How to read this — Bearish zone with falling momentum — sellers in control. Sub-0.40 print confirms downside control.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics

Series
Close Price	Change Pct: 0.8412124582869792, Slope: -0.8916666666666677
Change Percent	Vol: 2.0946087791041075, Slope: 0.3001190476190476
Volume	Slope: -385437.4404761905, Z Last: -0.6421982270672982
Deviation From Baseline	Last: -0.05565, Z Last: -0.5624962187564149, Slope: -0.017216785714285716
Diagnostics
Volume Trend	falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct	0.2695976773123248
Conv Div	convergence
Momentum Trend	weakening
Last Trend Label	Bearish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct	4.812486451333182
Ma Stack	bear
Cross 4 8	none
Price Vs Ma	mixed
Baseline Deviation	-0.05565
Baseline Dir	narrowing

What does it mean?

8-week price move: 0.84%. Weekly return volatility: 2.09%. Close is 0.27% above the prior-window 8-week high. and 4.81% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.64σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): -0.74. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): -0.88. 26-week move: -0.31%. 52-week move: -20.87%. Price sits 0.06% below its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing. Moving-average stack is weak (short below intermediate below long).
How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Returns are negatively correlated with volume — strength may come on lighter activity. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Weak MA stack argues for caution; rallies can fail near the 8–13 week region.
Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics

Series
Trend Pos	Avg: 46.30625, Med: 47.1375, Rng: (30.104999999999997, 58.838), Vol: 8.15416945111518, Slope: -1.8912380952380954, Last: 30.104999999999997
Diagnostics
Last Pos	30.104999999999997
Vol Band	high
Acceleration Label	Decelerating
Last Label	Bearish
State Label	Downtrend Confirmed
Slope 8W	-1.8912380952380954
Slope Short	-9.432500000000001
Accel Value	-2.2230714285714295
Drawdown From Peak Pts	28.733000000000004
Time In Bull	0
Time In Bear	2
Time In Mid	6
High Breakdown Recent	False
Midline Failure Recent	False
Bear Control Recent	True
Recovery Mid Recent	False
Recovery Bull Recent	False
Acc Upticks	0
Acc Opportunities	0
Acc Rate	None
Acc Longest Streak	0
Dist Downticks	0
Dist Opportunities	0
Dist Rate	None
Dist Longest Streak	0
Low Regime Bias	Mixed/None
High Regime Bias	Mixed/None

What does it mean?

Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 30.1/100; slope -1.89 pts/wk; short-term -9.43 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 28.7 pts. Bear control regained (sub-40).
How to read this — Bearish zone with falling momentum — sellers in control. Sub-0.40 print confirms downside control.
Bias remains lower; rallies are suspect unless gauge reclaims 0.50/0.60.

Final Conclusion

Verdict	Negative
Stars	★★☆☆☆
Summary	Price window: 0. Trend: Downtrend Confirmed; gauge 30. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths	Liquidity confirms the price trend
Watch-outs	Bearish control with falling momentum Momentum is weak/falling Price is not above key averages Weak moving-average stack

Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.