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Entity & Brand

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CompanyUS Foods Holding Corp.
TickerUSFD
ExchangeNYSE
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
No signals in this window.
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Negative -5.94% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 0.47% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Positive Rising Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -5.94% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 79.0/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Positive accelerating
Trend State Positive Uptrend at Risk
Trend State: Uptrend at Risk — gauge 79.0/100 — 8w slope -1.48; ST slope -0.99 pts/wk ?
Distribution at highs 4/5 (80.0%) High-regime breakdown (from ≥0.80)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 78.48 78.90 77.80 78.33 -0.19%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 79.75 80.27 79.27 79.46 -0.36%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 77.95 78.19 77.06 77.91 -0.05%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 77.54 77.63 76.68 77.60 0.08%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 77.48 78.25 76.69 77.34 -0.18%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 77.24 77.29 76.05 76.35 -1.15%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025 80.12 80.91 78.95 80.06 -0.07%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025 82.75 83.47 82.12 83.28 0.64% —

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 79.0/100; slope -1.48 pts/wk; short-term -0.99 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 8.5 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 4/5 (80.0%), bias: Distributing.
What to Watch How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: -5.943804034582136, Slope: -0.3894047619047627
Change Percent Vol: 0.46626172907499064, Slope: -0.04404761904761906
Volume Slope: 7558.333333333333, Z Last: 0.7381261329862068
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.47685, Z Last: -0.8338521434908459, Slope: -0.051427499999999994
Diagnostics
Volume Trend rising
Close Vs Recent High Pct -5.943804034582136
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 2.5933202357563903
Ma Stack mixed
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation 0.47685
Baseline Dir narrowing
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: -5.94%. Weekly return volatility: 0.47%. Close is 5.94% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 2.59% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: rising. Latest week’s volume is 0.74σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): -0.10. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): -0.04. 26-week move: 20.47%. 52-week move: 28.54%. Price sits 0.48% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track.
  3. Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 82.61225, Med: 82.7825, Rng: (77.92, 87.44), Vol: 3.575618084681305, Slope: -1.475380952380953, Last: 78.96
Diagnostics
Last Pos 78.96
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Accelerating
Last Label Bullish
State Label Uptrend at Risk
Slope 8W -1.475380952380953
Slope Short -0.988200000000002
Accel Value 0.1250714285714279
Drawdown From Peak Pts 8.480000000000004
Time In Bull 8
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent True
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 4
Dist Opportunities 5
Dist Rate 0.8
Dist Longest Streak 3
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Distributing
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 79.0/100; slope -1.48 pts/wk; short-term -0.99 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 8.5 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 4/5 (80.0%), bias: Distributing.
  2. How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.
  3. Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: -5. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 79. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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