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Weekly Market ReportKeyence Corporation 6861

TYO Signal Insights

Entity & Brand

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CompanyKeyence Corporation
Ticker6861
ExchangeTYO
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Smart Money Buy Mon, 1 Sep 2025
Source: smart_money
Signal close ?:
56970.0
At the signal (week of Mon, 1 Sep 2025)
  • Week change: +0.83%
  • Closed near the weekly high (strong finish).
  • Close sits at/above the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation easing (volume trend falling).
  • Since signal (perf): -1.90% over 1w; MFE -1.90% (0w), MAE +0.00% (1w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
1w
Current return
-1.90%
MFE
0.00% (0w)
MAE
-1.90% (1w)
ST: Below MT: Below
Summary
At the smart money buy week (Mon, 1 Sep 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is -1.90% over 1 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 0.00% (0w); worst dip [MAE]: -1.90% (1w).
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Negative -3.07% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 2.05% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -3.07% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
Price vs MAs Negative Below

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 27.4/100
Direction Positive Rising
Acceleration Positive accelerating
Trend State Neutral Bottoming Attempt
Trend State: Bottoming Attempt — gauge 27.4/100 — 8w slope 1.60; ST slope 2.12 pts/wk ?
Accumulation at lows 5/6 (83.3%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 57200.00 58050.00 55890.00 55890.00 -2.29%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 56500.00 56970.00 56020.00 56970.00 0.83%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 57230.00 57730.00 56230.00 56780.00 -0.79%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 55590.00 56890.00 55550.00 56650.00 1.91%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 55300.00 57870.00 55090.00 55440.00 0.25%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 55960.00 57790.00 55550.00 56420.00 0.82%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 57770.00 58390.00 54520.00 56830.00 -1.63%
Mon, 21 Jul 2025 55080.00 60090.00 54360.00 57660.00 4.68%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 08 Sep 2025. Gauge: 27.4/100; slope 1.60 pts/wk; short-term 2.12 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 5/6 (83.3%), bias: Accumulating.
What to Watch How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: -3.0697190426638916, Slope: -111.9047619047619
Change Percent Vol: 2.05284406373207, Slope: -0.4721428571428571
Volume Slope: -486759.5238095238, Z Last: -1.019315698981412
Deviation From Baseline Last: -0.1002, Z Last: -1.677491340935957, Slope: -0.0067086904761904775
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -3.0697190426638916
Conv Div convergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bearish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 0.8116883116883116
Ma Stack mixed
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma below
Baseline Deviation -0.1002
Baseline Dir narrowing
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: -3.07%. Weekly return volatility: 2.05%. Close is 3.07% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 0.81% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -1.02σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.17. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): -0.57. 26-week move: -8.56%. 52-week move: -18.46%. Price sits 0.10% below its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Price is extended below its baseline; rebounds can be sharp if demand improves. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Price sits below key averages, keeping pressure on the tape.
  3. Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 20.626125000000002, Med: 20.5875, Rng: (15.715000000000002, 27.400000000000002), Vol: 4.023297013566735, Slope: 1.6047499999999997, Last: 27.400000000000002
Diagnostics
Last Pos 27.400000000000002
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Accelerating
Last Label Neutral
State Label Bottoming Attempt
Slope 8W 1.6047499999999997
Slope Short 2.1236000000000006
Accel Value 0.2661071428571432
Drawdown From Peak Pts 0.0
Time In Bull 0
Time In Bear 8
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 5
Acc Opportunities 6
Acc Rate 0.8333333333333334
Acc Longest Streak 4
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Accumulating
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 08 Sep 2025. Gauge: 27.4/100; slope 1.60 pts/wk; short-term 2.12 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 5/6 (83.3%), bias: Accumulating.
  2. How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.
  3. Early improvement — look for a reclaim of 0.50→0.60 to validate.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictPositive
Stars ★★★★☆
SummaryPrice window: -3. Trend: Bottoming Attempt; gauge 27. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths
  • Early improvement from bearish zone (bottoming attempt)
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
  • Buyers step in at depressed levels (accumulation)
Watch-outs
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Negative multi-week performance
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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