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Weekly Market ReportAvalonBay Communities, Inc. AVB

NYSE Signal Insights

Entity & Brand

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CompanyAvalonBay Communities, Inc.
TickerAVB
ExchangeNYSE
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
No signals in this window.
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 4.62% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 1.06% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -1.48% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 21.8/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Positive accelerating
Gauge Volatility Neutral Low
Trend State Neutral Bottoming Attempt
Trend State: Bottoming Attempt — gauge 21.8/100 — 8w slope -0.10; ST slope 1.24 pts/wk — vol low ?
Accumulation at lows 4/7 (57.1%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 193.37 195.13 192.73 192.96 -0.21%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 196.96 198.29 195.12 195.15 -0.92%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 193.93 196.85 193.89 195.41 0.76%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 193.86 196.46 193.61 195.85 1.03%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 191.90 195.06 191.11 194.61 1.41%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 189.29 190.67 188.45 190.58 0.68%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025 188.83 189.09 186.32 186.78 -1.09%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025 187.58 188.24 181.23 184.44 -1.67%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 21.8/100; slope -0.10 pts/wk; short-term 1.24 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 4/7 (57.1%), bias: Accumulating.
What to Watch How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 4.619388418998054, Slope: 1.3954761904761908
Change Percent Vol: 1.0580930665588921, Slope: 0.13011904761904766
Volume Slope: -58321.42857142857, Z Last: 0.3017743184300963
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.04679, Z Last: 0.2719458076884771, Slope: 0.009186785714285713
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -1.475619096247121
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Bearish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 4.619388418998054
Ma Stack mixed
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation 0.04679
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 4.62%. Weekly return volatility: 1.06%. Close is 1.48% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 4.62% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is 0.30σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.34. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.18. 26-week move: -4.68%. 52-week move: -9.71%. Price sits 0.05% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 19.845625, Med: 19.683500000000002, Rng: (18.151, 21.817), Vol: 1.2927373996195055, Slope: -0.09546428571428574, Last: 21.817
Diagnostics
Last Pos 21.817
Vol Band low
Acceleration Label Accelerating
Last Label Neutral
State Label Bottoming Attempt
Slope 8W -0.09546428571428574
Slope Short 1.2395000000000003
Accel Value 0.456107142857143
Drawdown From Peak Pts 0.0
Time In Bull 0
Time In Bear 8
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 4
Acc Opportunities 7
Acc Rate 0.5714285714285714
Acc Longest Streak 3
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Accumulating
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 21.8/100; slope -0.10 pts/wk; short-term 1.24 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: low. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 4/7 (57.1%), bias: Accumulating.
  2. How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.
  3. Early improvement — look for a reclaim of 0.50→0.60 to validate.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 4. Trend: Bottoming Attempt; gauge 21. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Early improvement from bearish zone (bottoming attempt)
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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