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Entity & Brand

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CompanyYixin Group Limited
Ticker2858
ExchangeHKG
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Threshold Breach (Sell) Mon, 25 Aug 2025
Source: market_cycle
Signal close ?:
3.17
At the signal (week of Mon, 25 Aug 2025)
  • Week change: +3.59%
  • Close sits at/above the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation improving (volume trend rising).
  • Since signal (perf): +9.46% over 3w; MFE +9.46% (1w), MAE -0.95% (3w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
3w
Current return
-9.46%
MFE
0.95% (1w)
MAE
-9.46% (3w)
ST: Below MT: Above
Summary
At the threshold breach (sell) week (Mon, 25 Aug 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is -9.46% over 3 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 0.95% (1w); worst dip [MAE]: -9.46% (3w).
Current situation since SELL
Elapsed: 3w
Close then → now: 3.172.87
Δ: -0.3 (-9.46%)
Now vs trend: ST Below, MT Above
Weekly snapshots
Date Close % from Signal ST MT Wk %
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 3.17 0.00% Above Above 3.59%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 3.2 0.95% Above Above 0.95%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 2.92 -7.89% Below Above -2.34%
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 2.87 -9.46% Below Above 0.00%
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 12.55% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Negative 4.75% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -10.31% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Positive Constructive Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.
Price vs MAs Positive Above
Baseline Deviation Positive 1.82% (widening)

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 78.2/100
Direction Positive Rising
Acceleration Negative decelerating
Trend State Positive Uptrend at Risk
Trend State: Uptrend at Risk — gauge 78.2/100 — 8w slope 0.42; ST slope -2.71 pts/wk ?
Distribution at highs 2/3 (66.7%) High-regime breakdown (from ≥0.80)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 2.87 2.93 2.81 2.87 0.00%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 2.99 2.99 2.87 2.92 -2.34%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 3.17 3.24 3.07 3.20 0.95%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 3.06 3.30 2.95 3.17 3.59%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 2.52 2.81 2.52 2.79 10.71%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 2.63 2.62 2.56 2.58 -1.90%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 2.53 2.68 2.48 2.59 2.37%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 2.73 2.78 2.50 2.55 -6.59%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 78.2/100; slope 0.42 pts/wk; short-term -2.71 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 7.7 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 2/3 (66.7%), bias: Distributing.
What to Watch How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 12.549019607843148, Slope: 0.07297619047619049
Change Percent Vol: 4.7547645512159695, Slope: 0.28583333333333333
Volume Slope: -9775288.61904762, Z Last: -0.9506302888089168
Deviation From Baseline Last: 1.81889, Z Last: 0.3989742744063292, Slope: 0.13884119047619048
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -10.312500000000002
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 12.549019607843148
Ma Stack bull
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma above
Baseline Deviation 1.81889
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 12.55%. Weekly return volatility: 4.75%. Close is 10.31% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 12.55% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.95σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.07. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.53. 26-week move: 45.01%. 52-week move: 265.23%. Price sits 1.82% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region. Price holds above key averages, indicating constructive participation.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 79.87700000000001, Med: 78.4375, Rng: (75.63600000000001, 85.9), Vol: 3.326599051584068, Slope: 0.42378571428571543, Last: 78.22200000000001
Diagnostics
Last Pos 78.22200000000001
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Decelerating
Last Label Bullish
State Label Uptrend at Risk
Slope 8W 0.42378571428571543
Slope Short -2.712100000000001
Accel Value -0.5660000000000005
Drawdown From Peak Pts 7.677999999999997
Time In Bull 8
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent True
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 2
Dist Opportunities 3
Dist Rate 0.6666666666666666
Dist Longest Streak 1
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Distributing
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 78.2/100; slope 0.42 pts/wk; short-term -2.71 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 7.7 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 2/3 (66.7%), bias: Distributing.
  2. How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.
  3. Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 12. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 78. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Momentum is bullish and rising
  • Price holds above 8w & 26w averages
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Solid multi-week performance
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • High return volatility raises whipsaw risk
  • Sellers active at elevated levels (distribution)
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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