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Entity & Brand

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CompanyFirst American Financial Corporation
TickerFAF
ExchangeNYSE
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Threshold Breach (Sell) Fri, 5 Sep 2025
Source: market_cycle
Signal close ?:
67.06
At the signal (week of Fri, 5 Sep 2025)
  • Week change: +0.22%
  • Closed near the weekly high (strong finish).
  • Close sits at/above the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation easing (volume trend falling).
  • Since signal (perf): +1.06% over 2w; MFE +1.06% (1w), MAE -0.67% (2w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
2w
Current return
-1.06%
MFE
0.67% (1w)
MAE
-1.06% (2w)
ST: Below MT: Above
Summary
At the threshold breach (sell) week (Fri, 5 Sep 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is -1.06% over 2 weeks. Peak move [MFE]: 0.67% (1w); worst dip [MAE]: -1.06% (2w).
Current situation since SELL
Elapsed: 2w
Close then → now: 67.0666.35
Δ: -0.71 (-1.06%)
Now vs trend: ST Below, MT Above
Weekly snapshots
Date Close % from Signal ST MT Wk %
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 67.06 0.00% Above Above 0.22%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 67.51 0.67% Above Above -0.41%
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 66.35 -1.06% Below Above -1.41%
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 9.38% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 0.89% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Positive Rising Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -1.72% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Positive Constructive Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.
Price vs MAs Positive Above

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 66.7/100
Direction Positive Rising
Acceleration Positive accelerating
Gauge Volatility Neutral High
Trend State Positive Strong Uptrend
Trend State: Strong Uptrend — gauge 66.7/100 — 8w slope 7.84; ST slope 6.87 pts/wk — vol high ?
Accumulation at lows 3/3 (100.0%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 67.30 67.41 66.07 66.35 -1.41%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 67.79 68.09 67.29 67.51 -0.41%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 66.91 67.36 66.46 67.06 0.22%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 65.68 66.17 65.60 66.00 0.49%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 65.14 67.03 64.87 65.42 0.43%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 65.71 65.86 64.11 64.49 -1.86%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025 62.84 63.15 62.60 62.70 -0.22%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025 60.18 61.02 59.27 60.66 0.80%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 66.7/100; slope 7.84 pts/wk; short-term 6.87 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Recovery attempt (crossed up to ≥60). Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/3 (100.0%), bias: Accumulating.
What to Watch How to read this — High gauge and rising momentum — buyers in control.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 9.380151665018131, Slope: 0.8591666666666669
Change Percent Vol: 0.8872288318128532, Slope: -0.12047619047619047
Volume Slope: 16092.857142857143, Z Last: 0.6642993368750298
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.17401, Z Last: 0.4230770344243427, Slope: 0.013193214285714286
Diagnostics
Volume Trend rising
Close Vs Recent High Pct -1.7182639608946984
Conv Div convergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 9.380151665018131
Ma Stack bull
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma above
Baseline Deviation 0.17401
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 9.38%. Weekly return volatility: 0.89%. Close is 1.72% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 9.38% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: rising. Latest week’s volume is 0.66σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.06. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): -0.28. 26-week move: 3.45%. 52-week move: 4.38%. Price sits 0.17% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region. Price holds above key averages, indicating constructive participation.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 41.471, Med: 44.64, Rng: (17.159, 66.655), Vol: 18.30608298489876, Slope: 7.842404761904762, Last: 66.655
Diagnostics
Last Pos 66.655
Vol Band high
Acceleration Label Accelerating
Last Label Bullish
State Label Strong Uptrend
Slope 8W 7.842404761904762
Slope Short 6.8696
Accel Value 0.12457142857142868
Drawdown From Peak Pts 0.0
Time In Bull 2
Time In Bear 3
Time In Mid 3
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent True
Recovery Bull Recent True
Acc Upticks 3
Acc Opportunities 3
Acc Rate 1.0
Acc Longest Streak 2
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Accumulating
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 66.7/100; slope 7.84 pts/wk; short-term 6.87 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Recovery attempt (crossed up to ≥60). Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/3 (100.0%), bias: Accumulating.
  2. How to read this — High gauge and rising momentum — buyers in control.
  3. Bias remains higher; pullbacks could be buyable if participation holds.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictPositive
Stars ★★★★★
SummaryPrice window: 9. Trend: Strong Uptrend; gauge 66. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths
  • High gauge with rising momentum (strong uptrend)
  • Momentum is bullish and rising
  • Price holds above 8w & 26w averages
  • Constructive moving-average stack
Watch-outsNone listed.
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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