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Weekly Market ReportGUOTAI JUNAN I 1788

HKG Signal Insights

Entity & Brand

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CompanyGUOTAI JUNAN I
Ticker1788
ExchangeHKG
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
No signals in this window.
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Negative -5.78% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Negative 5.32% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -9.58% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Positive Constructive Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.
Baseline Deviation Positive 3.83% (narrowing)

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 76.8/100
Direction Positive Rising
Acceleration Negative decelerating
Trend State Positive Uptrend at Risk
Trend State: Uptrend at Risk — gauge 76.8/100 — 8w slope 1.40; ST slope -2.73 pts/wk ?
High-regime breakdown (from ≥0.80)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 5.37 5.38 5.27 5.38 0.19%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 5.37 5.37 5.23 5.33 -0.74%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 5.88 6.01 5.57 5.95 1.19%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 5.37 6.28 5.05 5.90 9.87%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 5.46 5.50 5.26 5.29 -3.11%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 5.20 5.20 4.95 5.05 -2.88%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 5.51 5.75 5.01 5.12 -7.08%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 6.25 6.99 5.70 5.71 -8.64%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 76.8/100; slope 1.40 pts/wk; short-term -2.73 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 9.2 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80.
What to Watch How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: -5.779334500875658, Slope: 0.02440476190476191
Change Percent Vol: 5.3207048405263, Slope: 1.413095238095238
Volume Slope: -235013576.82142857, Z Last: -0.7942589542064953
Deviation From Baseline Last: 3.83313, Z Last: -1.3827712875166633, Slope: -0.09367571428571426
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -9.579831932773114
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 6.534653465346536
Ma Stack bull
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation 3.83313
Baseline Dir narrowing
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: -5.78%. Weekly return volatility: 5.32%. Close is 9.58% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 6.53% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.79σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.14. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.65. 26-week move: 402.62%. 52-week move: 421.77%. Price sits 3.83% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 74.81575, Med: 75.1215, Rng: (68.639, 86.038), Vol: 5.175238780723068, Slope: 1.3983095238095236, Last: 76.816
Diagnostics
Last Pos 76.816
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Decelerating
Last Label Bullish
State Label Uptrend at Risk
Slope 8W 1.3983095238095236
Slope Short -2.7296999999999985
Accel Value -0.5966428571428571
Drawdown From Peak Pts 9.221999999999994
Time In Bull 8
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent True
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 1
Dist Opportunities 1
Dist Rate 1.0
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 76.8/100; slope 1.40 pts/wk; short-term -2.73 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 9.2 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80.
  2. How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.
  3. Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: -5. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 76. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Momentum is bullish and rising
  • Constructive moving-average stack
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • High return volatility raises whipsaw risk
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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