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Weekly Market ReportCommonwealth Bank of Australia CBA

ASX Signal Insights

Entity & Brand

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CompanyCommonwealth Bank of Australia
TickerCBA
ExchangeASX
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
No signals in this window.
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Negative -3.52% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 1.29% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -5.43% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
Price vs MAs Negative Below

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 74.8/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Negative decelerating
Trend State Neutral Uptrend at Risk
Momentum Drawdown Negative 12.2 pts from 8w peak
Trend State: Uptrend at Risk — gauge 74.8/100 — 8w slope -2.10; ST slope -2.02 pts/wk — drawdown 12.2 pts from peak ?
Distribution at highs 5/5 (100.0%) High-regime breakdown (from ≥0.80)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 168.69 168.98 167.74 168.90 0.12%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 168.00 168.24 166.59 168.24 0.14%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 170.58 171.59 168.08 168.95 -0.96%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 173.95 174.10 168.80 170.30 -2.10%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 168.33 171.83 168.12 171.05 1.62%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 177.10 178.60 176.65 178.60 0.85%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 174.00 177.64 173.43 177.34 1.92%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 172.50 178.19 171.60 175.06 1.48%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 74.8/100; slope -2.10 pts/wk; short-term -2.02 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 12.2 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 5/5 (100.0%), bias: Distributing.
What to Watch How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: -3.5187935564949138, Slope: -1.4085714285714281
Change Percent Vol: 1.2947580613767191, Slope: -0.32821428571428574
Volume Slope: -495493.1904761905, Z Last: -0.5679414570481417
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.39545, Z Last: -1.0802915297102555, Slope: -0.04616999999999999
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -5.431131019036948
Conv Div convergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 0.39229671897289375
Ma Stack mixed
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma below
Baseline Deviation 0.39545
Baseline Dir narrowing
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: -3.52%. Weekly return volatility: 1.29%. Close is 5.43% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 0.39% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.57σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): -0.36. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): -0.25. 26-week move: 12.28%. 52-week move: 27.66%. Price sits 0.40% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Returns are negatively correlated with volume — strength may come on lighter activity. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Price sits below key averages, keeping pressure on the tape.
  3. Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 81.45825, Med: 82.321, Rng: (74.767, 86.988), Vol: 5.002753860375303, Slope: -2.1028809523809526, Last: 74.767
Diagnostics
Last Pos 74.767
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Decelerating
Last Label Neutral
State Label Uptrend at Risk
Slope 8W -2.1028809523809526
Slope Short -2.0223000000000013
Accel Value -0.1659285714285724
Drawdown From Peak Pts 12.221000000000004
Time In Bull 8
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent True
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 5
Dist Opportunities 5
Dist Rate 1.0
Dist Longest Streak 4
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Distributing
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 74.8/100; slope -2.10 pts/wk; short-term -2.02 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 12.2 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 5/5 (100.0%), bias: Distributing.
  2. How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.
  3. Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: -3. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 74. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Negative multi-week performance
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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