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Weekly Market Report - SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)

ETF-USSignal Insights

Entity & Brand

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CompanySPDR Gold Shares
TickerGLD
ExchangeETF-US
Weeks Used8
Brand Domainsharemaestro.com

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Threshold Breach (Sell) Fri, 5 Sep 2025
Signal close ?:
331.05
At the signal (week of Fri, 5 Sep 2025)
  • Week change: +0.46%
  • Closed near the weekly high (strong finish).
  • Close sits at/above the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation improving (volume trend rising).
  • Momentum cooled week-on-week.
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
2w
Current return
2.46%
MFE
2.46% (2w)
MAE
0.00% (0w)
ST: Above MT: Above
Summary
At the threshold breach (sell) week (Fri, 5 Sep 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is 2.46% over 2 weeks. Peak move [MFE] reached 2.46% after 2w; worst dip [MAE] was 0.00% after 0w.
Current situation since SELL
Elapsed: 2w
Close then → now: 331.05339.18
Δ: 8.13 (2.46%)
Now vs trend: ST Above, MT Above
Weekly snapshots
Date Close % from Signal ST MT Wk %
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 331.05 0.00% Above Above 0.46%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 335.42 1.32% Above Above -0.14%
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 339.18 2.46% Above Above 0.79%
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 8.32% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 0.91% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Positive 1.12% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Positive Constructive Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.
Price vs MAs Positive Above

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 76.9/100
Direction Negative Falling
Trend State Positive Uptrend at Risk
Trend State: Uptrend at Risk — gauge 76.9/100 — 8w slope -1.44; ST slope -1.79 pts/wk ?
High-regime breakdown (from ≥0.80)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 336.51 339.23 336.31 339.18 0.79%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 335.88 336.39 335.23 335.42 -0.14%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 329.53 331.44 328.93 331.05 0.46%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 314.72 318.09 314.64 318.07 1.06%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 306.52 315.08 306.43 315.03 2.78%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 307.34 308.00 306.63 306.95 -0.13%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025 312.35 313.53 311.00 313.05 0.22%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025 308.61 313.14 307.45 313.12 1.46%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 76.9/100; slope -1.44 pts/wk; short-term -1.79 pts/wk; steady. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 8.1 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 2/5 (40.0%), bias: Accumulating.
What to Watch How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 8.322687787429741, Slope: 4.400119047619049
Change Percent Vol: 0.9098729306886758, Slope: -0.07666666666666666
Volume Slope: -3511109.119047619, Z Last: -0.6139657775342693
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.53292, Z Last: 0.2676001560347145, Slope: -0.007465833333333334
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct 1.1209826486196384
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 10.500081446489663
Ma Stack bull
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma above
Baseline Deviation 0.53292
Baseline Dir narrowing
Rich Paragraphs
  1. 8-week price move: 8.32%. Weekly return volatility: 0.91%. Close is 1.12% above the prior-window 8-week high. and 10.50% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.61σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.75. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.57. 26-week move: 18.42%. 52-week move: 38.16%. Price sits 0.53% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region. Price holds above key averages, indicating constructive participation.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 80.926125, Med: 82.702, Rng: (76.064, 85.03699999999999), Vol: 3.657496939079375, Slope: -1.4380357142857148, Last: 76.92999999999999
Diagnostics
Last Pos 76.92999999999999
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Steady
Last Label Bullish
State Label Uptrend at Risk
Slope 8W -1.4380357142857148
Slope Short -1.7892000000000023
Accel Value 0.012821428571428381
Drawdown From Peak Pts 8.107
Time In Bull 8
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent True
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 2
Dist Opportunities 5
Dist Rate 0.4
Dist Longest Streak 1
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Accumulating
Rich Paragraphs
  1. Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 76.9/100; slope -1.44 pts/wk; short-term -1.79 pts/wk; steady. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 8.1 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 2/5 (40.0%), bias: Accumulating.
  2. How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.
  3. Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 8. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 76. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Price holds above 8w & 26w averages
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • Recent breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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