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Weekly Market ReportTilly's, Inc. TLYS

NYSE Signal Insights

Entity & Brand

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CompanyTilly's, Inc.
TickerTLYS
ExchangeNYSE
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Accumulation Fri, 19 Sep 2025
Source: smart_money
Signal close ?:
1.83
At the signal (week of Fri, 19 Sep 2025)
  • Week change: -6.15%
  • Closed near the weekly low (soft finish).
  • Close sits below the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation easing (volume trend falling).
  • Since signal (perf): +0.00% over 0w; MFE +0.00% (0w), MAE +0.00% (0w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
Current return
0.00%
MFE
0.00% (0w)
MAE
0.00% (0w)
ST: Below MT: Above
Summary
At the accumulation week (Fri, 19 Sep 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is 0.00% . Peak move [MFE]: 0.00% (0w); worst dip [MAE]: 0.00% (0w).
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 7.65% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Negative 11.43% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -7.11% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Positive Constructive Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.
Price vs MAs Positive Above

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 22.5/100
Direction Positive Rising
Acceleration Positive accelerating
Trend State Neutral Bottoming Attempt
Trend State: Bottoming Attempt — gauge 22.5/100 — 8w slope 1.53; ST slope 2.66 pts/wk ?
Accumulation at lows 6/7 (85.7%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 1.95 2.01 1.83 1.83 -6.15%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 1.98 1.99 1.83 1.88 -5.05%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 2.10 2.17 1.87 1.90 -9.52%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 2.02 2.03 1.90 1.97 -2.48%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 1.51 2.06 1.51 1.93 27.81%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 1.44 1.56 1.41 1.53 6.25%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025 1.50 1.53 1.37 1.38 -8.00%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025 1.75 1.79 1.67 1.70 -2.86%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 22.5/100; slope 1.53 pts/wk; short-term 2.66 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 6/7 (85.7%), bias: Accumulating.
What to Watch How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 7.647058823529419, Slope: 0.05428571428571429
Change Percent Vol: 11.427729433268885, Slope: -1.0223809523809524
Volume Slope: -2292.8571428571427, Z Last: -0.28535492062748014
Deviation From Baseline Last: -0.68563, Z Last: 0.6239743261302455, Slope: 0.021921071428571436
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -7.106598984771568
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bearish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 32.60869565217393
Ma Stack bull
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma above
Baseline Deviation -0.68563
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 7.65%. Weekly return volatility: 11.43%. Close is 7.11% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 32.61% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.29σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.84. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.58. 26-week move: -4.19%. 52-week move: -59.15%. Price sits 0.69% below its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region. Price holds above key averages, indicating constructive participation.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 13.2685, Med: 13.1915, Rng: (8.892, 22.478), Vol: 3.9753495129359386, Slope: 1.5269761904761907, Last: 22.478
Diagnostics
Last Pos 22.478
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Accelerating
Last Label Neutral
State Label Bottoming Attempt
Slope 8W 1.5269761904761907
Slope Short 2.662100000000001
Accel Value 0.6904285714285715
Drawdown From Peak Pts 0.0
Time In Bull 0
Time In Bear 8
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 6
Acc Opportunities 7
Acc Rate 0.8571428571428571
Acc Longest Streak 5
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Accumulating
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 22.5/100; slope 1.53 pts/wk; short-term 2.66 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 6/7 (85.7%), bias: Accumulating.
  2. How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.
  3. Early improvement — look for a reclaim of 0.50→0.60 to validate.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNeutral
Stars ★★★☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 7. Trend: Bottoming Attempt; gauge 22. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Early improvement from bearish zone (bottoming attempt)
  • Price holds above 8w & 26w averages
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Buyers step in at depressed levels (accumulation)
Watch-outs
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • High return volatility raises whipsaw risk
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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