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Entity & Brand

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CompanyAlaska Air Group, Inc.
TickerALK
ExchangeNYSE
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
No signals in this window.
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 11.45% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Negative 5.08% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Positive Rising Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -9.66% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Positive Constructive Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 63.5/100
Direction Positive Rising
Acceleration Positive accelerating
Gauge Volatility Neutral High
Trend State Positive Strong Uptrend
Trend State: Strong Uptrend — gauge 63.5/100 — 8w slope 7.51; ST slope 10.91 pts/wk — vol high ?
Accumulation at lows 3/3 (100.0%)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 57.48 57.63 56.71 57.25 -0.40%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 65.80 65.88 63.31 63.37 -3.69%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 62.90 64.10 62.27 63.15 0.40%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 62.98 63.15 61.91 62.78 -0.32%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 55.43 63.39 55.31 63.18 13.98%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 56.92 57.70 56.84 57.36 0.77%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025 53.32 53.41 52.10 52.28 -1.95%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025 51.75 51.75 50.01 51.37 -0.73% —

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 63.5/100; slope 7.51 pts/wk; short-term 10.91 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Recovery attempt (crossed up to ≥60). Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/3 (100.0%), bias: Accumulating.
What to Watch How to read this — High gauge and rising momentum — buyers in control.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 11.44636947634807, Slope: 1.3521428571428573
Change Percent Vol: 5.077976343977983, Slope: -0.25952380952380955
Volume Slope: 183148.80952380953, Z Last: 0.4105589744817479
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.23021, Z Last: -0.09419763340559686, Slope: 0.041224642857142856
Diagnostics
Volume Trend rising
Close Vs Recent High Pct -9.657566671926777
Conv Div convergence
Momentum Trend improving
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 11.44636947634807
Ma Stack bull
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation 0.23021
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 11.45%. Weekly return volatility: 5.08%. Close is 9.66% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 11.45% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: rising. Latest week’s volume is 0.41σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.91. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.69. 26-week move: 24.62%. 52-week move: 34.14%. Price sits 0.23% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 33.878, Med: 29.05, Rng: (14.721, 63.495000000000005), Vol: 17.733490547548726, Slope: 7.507380952380954, Last: 63.495000000000005
Diagnostics
Last Pos 63.495000000000005
Vol Band high
Acceleration Label Accelerating
Last Label Bullish
State Label Strong Uptrend
Slope 8W 7.507380952380954
Slope Short 10.912000000000003
Accel Value 1.4942857142857147
Drawdown From Peak Pts 0.0
Time In Bull 1
Time In Bear 5
Time In Mid 2
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent True
Recovery Bull Recent True
Acc Upticks 3
Acc Opportunities 3
Acc Rate 1.0
Acc Longest Streak 2
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Accumulating
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 63.5/100; slope 7.51 pts/wk; short-term 10.91 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: high. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 0.0 pts. Recovery attempt (crossed up to ≥60). Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/3 (100.0%), bias: Accumulating.
  2. How to read this — High gauge and rising momentum — buyers in control.
  3. Bias remains higher; pullbacks could be buyable if participation holds.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNeutral
Stars ★★★☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 11. Trend: Strong Uptrend; gauge 63. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths
  • High gauge with rising momentum (strong uptrend)
  • Momentum is bullish and rising
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
Watch-outs
  • Price is not above key averages
  • High return volatility raises whipsaw risk
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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