Polymarket · Technology

Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Technology expectations are falling at 7.5% on a moderate-quality market. Technology expectation is steady at 7.5%. 24h move -0.8 pts. 7d move -0.8 pts. Data quality 30/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 7.5%
Signal Watch
Score 20
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 93 Liquidity 1.0K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality30.5
Momentum6.1
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.8 pts

Technology expectation is steady at 7.5%. 24h move -0.8 pts. 7d move -0.8 pts. Data quality 30/100.

Same theme
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on June 11? 88.0% · Probability Surge · score 65 Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 11? 54.5% · Probability Surge · score 55 Will Love Island USA be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15? 29.5% · Probability Fade · score 55 Will Google (GOOGL) close at $360-$365 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? 4.0% · Probability Fade · score 55 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on June 11? 30.0% · Watch · score 54 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12? 36.5% · Probability Surge · score 53