Polymarket · Technology

Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?

Technology expectations are falling at 96.5% on a moderate-quality market. Technology expectation is steady at 96.5%. 24h move -0.0 pts. 7d move -0.0 pts. Data quality 44/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 96.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 24
Freshness now
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.9K Liquidity 3.1K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality44.0
Momentum0.3
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.1 pts

Technology expectation is steady at 96.5%. 24h move -0.0 pts. 7d move -0.0 pts. Data quality 44/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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