Polymarket · Technology

Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

Technology expectations are falling at 0.6% on a moderate-quality market. Technology expectation is falling at 0.6%. 24h move -6.1 pts. 7d move -6.1 pts. Data quality 35/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 0.6%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 47
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 985 Liquidity 464 Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality34.6
Momentum35.4
Urgency95.0
7d Move-6.1 pts

Technology expectation is falling at 0.6%. 24h move -6.1 pts. 7d move -6.1 pts. Data quality 35/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? 52.0% · Probability Surge · score 64 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $200-$205 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? 32.5% · Probability Surge · score 59 Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of June? 82.0% · Probability Surge · score 53 Will Google (GOOGL) close at $370-$375 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? 8.5% · Probability Surge · score 51 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? 67.0% · Probability Surge · score 47 Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? 16.5% · Probability Fade · score 46