Polymarket · Technology

Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?

Technology expectations are rising at 20.0% on a moderate-quality market. Technology expectation is rising at 20.0%. 24h move +2.0 pts. 7d move +2.0 pts. Data quality 31/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 20.0%
Signal Watch
Score 22
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 95 Liquidity 1.1K Spread 0.2 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality30.6
Momentum11.6
Urgency25.0
7d Move2.0 pts

Technology expectation is rising at 20.0%. 24h move +2.0 pts. 7d move +2.0 pts. Data quality 31/100.

Same theme
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026? 66.5% · Probability Surge · score 57 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026? 57.0% · Probability Fade · score 49 Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? 17.0% · Probability Fade · score 42 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15? 0.6% · Watch · score 37 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026? 13.5% · Probability Fade · score 37 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? 0.1% · Watch · score 37