Polymarket · Technology

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Technology expectations are falling at 81.0% on a moderate-quality market. Technology expectation is steady at 81.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 38/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 81.0%
Signal High Conviction
Score 22
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 895 Liquidity 3.0K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality38.4
Momentum2.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.5 pts

Technology expectation is steady at 81.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 38/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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