Polymarket · Technology

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Technology expectations are falling at 78.5% on a moderate-quality market. Technology expectation is steady at 78.5%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

Probability 78.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 27
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 955 Liquidity 8.4K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality40.7
Momentum11.8
Urgency25.0
7d Move-1.0 pts

Technology expectation is steady at 78.5%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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