Polymarket · Technology

Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?

Technology expectations are steady at 0.0% on a moderate-quality market. Technology expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 49/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 0.1%
Signal Watch
Score 26
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 8.8K Liquidity 34.5K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality49.1
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Technology expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 49/100.

Same theme
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on June 8? 25.0% · Probability Surge · score 49 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30? 13.2% · Probability Fade · score 46 Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026? 35.0% · Probability Surge · score 45 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? 7.1% · Watch · score 42 Will OpenAI raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO? 34.5% · Probability Fade · score 40 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? 9.5% · Watch · score 39