Polymarket · Technology

Will Instants, an Instagram app be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

Technology expectations are falling at 29.5% on a moderate-quality market. Technology expectation is falling at 29.5%. 24h move -8.0 pts. 7d move -8.0 pts. Data quality 26/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 29.5%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 41
Freshness 17s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 96 Liquidity 199 Spread 0.5 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality26.0
Momentum46.4
Urgency62.9
7d Move-8.0 pts

Technology expectation is falling at 29.5%. 24h move -8.0 pts. 7d move -8.0 pts. Data quality 26/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on June 8? 97.5% · Probability Surge · score 64 Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on June 8? 9.0% · Probability Fade · score 52 Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keynote? 11.0% · Probability Fade · score 51 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 in June? 71.0% · Probability Fade · score 45 Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026? 35.5% · Probability Surge · score 45 Will Google (GOOGL) close above $365 on June 8? 24.0% · Probability Surge · score 45