TOR · Market

XAD Elliott Wave Cycles

iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense Index ETF

Week Ending
17 Jul 2026
O
108.79
H
108.79
L
104.05
C
104.59
Wave + Hurst trough confluence 89 confidence
How To Read This Page

From Structure To Opportunity

Open Terminal Chart
Start With The Price Chart

The top panel shows the weekly share price against trend and Fair Value. The wave labels are a map of the current swing structure, not a promise of what comes next.

Then Check Timing

Cycle Pressure and Hurst Rhythm help you judge whether the share is acting as if pressure is building, easing, or lining up into a more useful window.

Look For Agreement

Market Activity, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, and Rate of Change are confirmation panels. Cleaner agreement means the setup deserves more research time.

Cycle PhaseRising
Hurst RhythmRising Stack
Hurst Timing60
Hurst Risk64
Cycle Rhythm9w
Latest Close104.59
Pivot Reversal7.0%
Current Scenario

Scenario

89 confidence

Wave + Hurst trough confluence. The count is a scenario map, not a forecast; the useful question is whether cycle timing and confirmation evidence agree with the structure.

  • Hurst rhythm shows a rising stack.
  • Price is above the 30-week trend line.
  • Market Activity is positive.
  • Market Dynamics supports the setup.
  • 30-week price rate of change is positive.

Wave, Cycle, And Confirmation

Weekly close, trend, Fair Value, swing structure, cycle pressure, Hurst rhythm, Market Activity, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, and Rate of Change.

Hurst Rhythm

Several market rhythms are shown together. The values are timing readings, not price targets.

Nearest trough window 3w · Nearest crest window 1w
Nominal Cycle Phase Value Amplitude Since Trough Trough Window
10w Cresting 0.80 3.72 11w 1w
20w Rising 1.00 6.90 9w 9w
40w Rising 0.66 15.36 8w 8w
80w Rising 0.81 28.18 3w 3w

Recent Pivots

Recent turning points help describe the current swing structure.

148 shown · 148 warmed
Date Type Price Move Weeks
2025-03-28 High 70.88 - 0
2025-04-04 Low 62.66 -11.6% 1
2025-10-24 High 98.35 57.0% 29
2025-11-21 Low 90.52 -8.0% 4
2026-01-16 High 109.97 21.5% 8
2026-05-01 Low 95.27 -13.4% 15
2026-07-03 High 114.78 20.5% 9
2026-07-17 Low 104.59 -8.9% 2