Pattern Intelligence · JKT

OMED quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

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Next week 59.7%

Unclear · avg analogue +0.97%

Low conviction

Next 4 weeks 56.5%

Unclear · avg analogue +1.66%

Low conviction

Live chart evidence Chart evidence is mixed

The current setup has both supportive and challenging components.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close: 204.00
Trend Line: 232.59
Fair value: 193.28

Hover chart for weekly context.

Practical insights

What this is saying

Pattern Lab compares today’s setup with resolved historical setups. The useful question is not “does it look similar?” but “when it looked similar before, did price actually go higher?”

Bias: wait for confirmation A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Supportive

Relative Strength: +0.20
Price Cycle: +0.06

Headwinds

Price vs Trend Line: -12.29%
Market Activity: -0.20

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.

Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -2.66%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue +3.14%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +8.70%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line -12.29%

Price is below trend, which keeps pressure on the setup.

Price vs Fair Value +5.54%

Price is close to Fair Value.

Market Dynamics -0.01

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength +0.20

The stock is showing relative leadership.

Market Activity -0.20

This component is a drag.

Price Cycle +0.06

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker	Week	Similarity	Outcome	4W return
8158 JPX	2022-04-29	0.7013	lower	-6.28%
NB2 GER	2025-04-18	0.6991	higher	+6.55%
600053 SHH	2026-04-17	0.6921	lower	-36.68%
TBLA JKT	2024-01-12	0.6839	lower	-2.21%
HYPE3 SAO	2023-01-13	0.6837	higher	+2.59%
MUX TOR	2023-07-14	0.6834	lower	-11.50%
YMM NYSE	2025-05-16	0.6831	lower	-2.92%
7819 JPX	2024-04-26	0.6779	lower	-4.88%
SIYSIL NSI	2025-03-21	0.6779	higher	+9.00%
3969 HKG	2024-09-20	0.675	higher	+25.36%
688258 SHH	2023-08-11	0.6711	higher	+9.80%
300798 SHZ	2024-03-01	0.6704	higher	+2.03%

Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

Sector structure 2.19144
Volume pressure 0.90736
Trend Signal -0.42302
Market Activity -0.29617

This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.