Pattern Intelligence · VIE

PHIA quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

Next week 49.8%

Unclear · avg analogue +0.00%

Low conviction
Next 4 weeks 50.5%

Unclear · avg analogue -0.37%

Low conviction
Live chart evidence Chart evidence supports the read

3 of the core evidence blocks are supportive.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close
24.06
Trend Line
23.39
Fair value
21.46
Hover chart for weekly context.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.
Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -5.23%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue +0.01%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +3.27%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line +2.85%

Price is close to trend, so direction still needs confirmation.

Price vs Fair Value +12.11%

Price is stretched above the current Fair Value estimate.

Market Dynamics +0.01

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength -0.15

The stock is lagging relative strength.

Market Activity +0.27

This component is supportive.

Price Cycle +0.12

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker Week Similarity Outcome 4W return
AEC1
GER
2026-06-05 0.704 higher +15.35%
3449
JPX
2024-11-22 0.6985 higher +0.27%
ACRE
NYSE
2022-04-08 0.6817 lower -0.65%
8934
JPX
2024-11-22 0.6795 higher +0.43%
BRC
NYSE
2021-11-05 0.6761 lower -5.70%
MOWI
OSL
2025-07-04 0.674 lower -1.44%
7988
JPX
2024-02-09 0.6722 higher +0.64%
7475
JPX
2025-02-14 0.6686 higher +6.75%
7434
JPX
2024-09-27 0.6589 lower -4.84%
ACA
NYSE
2025-06-13 0.6533 higher +4.54%
9684
JPX
2023-04-07 0.6507 higher +7.94%
NEM
GER
2025-12-19 0.6481 lower -11.63%
Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

  • Sector structure -1.61675
  • Next-week expectancy 0.63646
  • Trend Signal -0.42302
  • Close location -0.32665
This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.