Pattern Intelligence · KSC

007460 quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

Next week 53.3%

Unclear · avg analogue +1.67%

Low conviction
Next 4 weeks 37.3%

Likely lower · avg analogue -2.33%

Moderate conviction
Live chart evidence Chart evidence challenges the read

5 of the core evidence blocks are acting as headwinds.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close
2,395.00
Trend Line
5,966.91
Fair value
13,783.95
Hover chart for weekly context.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.
Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -15.48%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue -3.74%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +5.00%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line -59.86%

Price is below trend, which keeps pressure on the setup.

Price vs Fair Value -82.62%

Price is trading below Fair Value, which can create recovery potential if pressure improves.

Market Dynamics -0.01

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength -0.83

The stock is lagging relative strength.

Market Activity -1.00

This component is a drag.

Price Cycle -0.83

This component is a drag.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker Week Similarity Outcome 4W return
UPXI
NASDAQ
2024-07-19 0.7507 lower -51.43%
GOVX
NASDAQ
2026-04-10 0.7475 higher +35.77%
3158
KLS
2024-05-31 0.7452 higher +21.11%
APS
TOR
2024-09-06 0.7452 lower -3.85%
CAPTRUST
NSI
2026-03-27 0.7409 higher +14.96%
VRM
NASDAQ
2022-01-14 0.7385 lower -12.59%
BOHRAIND
NSI
2024-04-19 0.7383 higher +7.49%
ALHPI
PAR
2023-09-08 0.7365 lower -49.73%
AMBP3
SAO
2026-04-24 0.7344 lower -18.18%
5G1
SES
2026-01-23 0.7335 lower -18.75%
VRM
NASDAQ
2024-06-21 0.7293 higher +2.15%
2211
HKG
2021-08-20 0.7234 higher +5.95%
Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

  • Sector structure -2.82911
  • Market Activity -1.09174
  • Volume pressure -1.07906
  • Price Cycle -0.8952
This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.