Pattern Intelligence · SAO

N1WG34 quant read

The nearest historical setups point to a better-than-even chance of higher prices across the tested horizon set.

Next week 53.3%

Unclear · avg analogue -0.27%

Low conviction
Next 4 weeks 67.8%

Likely higher · avg analogue +3.42%

Moderate conviction
Live chart evidence Chart evidence supports the read

4 of the core evidence blocks are supportive.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

Confirmation from price holding above trend and relative strength staying firm.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close
91.44
Trend Line
84.13
Fair value
56.01
Hover chart for weekly context.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.
Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -0.20%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue +4.80%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +8.15%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line +8.69%

Price is comfortably above its medium-term trend.

Price vs Fair Value +63.27%

Price is stretched above the current Fair Value estimate.

Market Dynamics +0.01

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength +0.03

Relative strength is not giving a clear edge.

Market Activity +0.51

This component is supportive.

Price Cycle +0.63

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker Week Similarity Outcome 4W return
PFE
BUE
2022-06-17 0.6429 higher +34.81%
AGHOL
IST
2025-01-03 0.6331 lower -8.45%
UCB
BRU
2025-08-01 0.6325 higher +8.11%
6850
JPX
2023-12-08 0.6304 higher +7.10%
CHV
GER
2023-06-02 0.6263 lower -0.55%
5393
JPX
2025-06-13 0.6256 higher +9.11%
2501
JPX
2024-07-26 0.6238 higher +15.67%
FFIV
NASDAQ
2026-03-06 0.6219 higher +5.98%
002245
SHZ
2022-07-01 0.6194 lower -15.64%
WINA
NASDAQ
2024-05-17 0.6127 lower -6.54%
SKBN
TLV
2021-11-19 0.6113 lower -9.40%
ACRE
NYSE
2022-04-08 0.6103 lower -0.65%
Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

  • Sector structure 0.76396
  • Next-week expectancy 0.71939
  • Volume pressure -0.61529
  • Price vs Fair Value 0.57021
This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.